Raiders' Maxx Crosby refuses to 'throw gasoline on the fire' as trade rumors rage https://www.nfl.com/news/raiders-maxx-crosby-refuses-to-throw-gasoline-on-the-fire-as-trade-rumors-rage
If you're following my #publiicvoit blog via Atom feed:
I might have found a fix for my broken feed format: https://github.com/novoid/lazyblorg/issues/24
Please report back a…
Following an intense backlash this morning,
the White House has now taken down Trump’s Truth Social repost
of a video showing a racist clip
⚠️depicting the Obamas as apes.
The post was up for 12 hours.
As we reported earlier, a few hours ago the White House had initially tried to brush off the outrage,
defending Trump’s repost as “an internet meme video”.
Politicians from both parties have this morning condemned the post
and urged Trump to remov…
Sounds easy, looks nice: Crossmodal transfer of auditory processing fluency to visual object preference https://link.springer.com/article/10.3758/s13414-025-03177-5
As the Red Army was pushing into Berlin, Hitler tried to order the destruction of German Industry. It was not simply to prevent the allies from continuing, but also to punish the German people for failing him. The film Downfall portrays him believing that the German people had shown themselves to be weak and that they deserved to die.
Trump has always had some Hitler energy. It's been reported multiple times that he keeps a collection of Hitler speeches by his bed. As he threatens Greenland, everyone wants to jump to compare that to Poland. The thing is, he doesn't have Hitler 1939 energy. He has Hitler 1945 energy.
Everyone knows he's a pedophile and a rapist. He's a loser and he'll do anything to distract from that. He would literally start WWIII if he thought it would give him a few more days. He's a coward who's afraid to face what he's done. But he's a coward with nuclear weapons.
I just hope the people around him value their life more than they are loyal to him.
Robust forecast aggregation via additional queries
Rafael Frongillo, Mary Monroe, Eric Neyman, Bo Waggoner
https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.05271 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2512.05271 https://arxiv.org/html/2512.05271
arXiv:2512.05271v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: We study the problem of robust forecast aggregation: combining expert forecasts with provable accuracy guarantees compared to the best possible aggregation of the underlying information. Prior work shows strong impossibility results, e.g. that even under natural assumptions, no aggregation of the experts' individual forecasts can outperform simply following a random expert (Neyman and Roughgarden, 2022).
In this paper, we introduce a more general framework that allows the principal to elicit richer information from experts through structured queries. Our framework ensures that experts will truthfully report their underlying beliefs, and also enables us to define notions of complexity over the difficulty of asking these queries. Under a general model of independent but overlapping expert signals, we show that optimal aggregation is achievable in the worst case with each complexity measure bounded above by the number of agents $n$. We further establish tight tradeoffs between accuracy and query complexity: aggregation error decreases linearly with the number of queries, and vanishes when the "order of reasoning" and number of agents relevant to a query is $\omega(\sqrt{n})$. These results demonstrate that modest extensions to the space of expert queries dramatically strengthen the power of robust forecast aggregation. We therefore expect that our new query framework will open up a fruitful line of research in this area.
toXiv_bot_toot
Minnesota resident Nicole Cleland had her Global Entry and TSA Precheck privileges revoked
three days after an incident in which she observed activity by immigration agents, the woman said in a court declaration.
An agent told Cleland that he used facial recognition technology to identify her, she wrote in a declaration filed in US District Court for the District of Minnesota.
Cleland, a 56-year-old resident of Richfield and a director at Target Corporation,
voluntee…
Following the fatal shootings of American citizens Renee Good and Alex Pretti by federal agents in Minneapolis last month,
Democrats have refused to support long-term funding for the Department of Homland Security unless Republicans agree to reforms on the tactics of federal agents carrying out Donald Trump’s immigration crackdown.
“The American people rightfully expect their elected representatives to take action to rein in ICE and ensure no more lives are lost,” Senate minorit…