Tootfinder

❝
After 30 minutes of standing in a window recess surrounded by people, being hit with water balloons, "marched" to his hotel
He has reportedly retreated / led the crowd to his hotel, very smart guy 🙃
I sincerely hope that all of the bluster of the nonstop national news networks, as well as the massive mobilization of forces, all end up being for a huge nothing-burger. 20 people?! Even ICE recruits better than that.
❞
Thanks to all the folks on the ground and following the video who are sharing all these reports.
4/

U.S. Forces Launch Operations to Seize Fleeing Oil Tanker (Wall Street Journal)
https://www.wsj.com/world/u-s-forces-launch-operation-to-seize-fleeing-oil-tanker-0d6443ab?st=crtxCJ&reflink=article_copyURL_share
http://www.memeorandum.com/260107/p26#a260107p26

U.S. Forces Launch Operation to Seize Fleeing Venezuela-Linked Oil Tanker Despite Russian Escort https://ground.news/article/us-forces-launch-operation-to-seize-fleeing-oil-tanker

Apple's stock dropped 5% on Thursday, its worst day since April, following FTC scrutiny of Apple News and reports about delays with Siri (Jennifer Elias/CNBC)
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/02/12/apple-stock-worst-day-ftc-siri.html

Apple has worst day since April as company faces FTC scrutiny, Siri delay reports
The iPhone-maker faces reported delays in its AI assistant and pressure from FTC chair Andrew Ferguson to look into possible political bias.

Please watch @…’s latest video about the upcoming rains being forecast for Gaza, what it means for the people there who are attempting to exist in makeshift tents, and what you can do to help.
Also, if you’re not already following her, please do.
She’s part of our team at Gaza Verified and, this week, will be running verification calls alongside

Robust forecast aggregation via additional queries
Rafael Frongillo, Mary Monroe, Eric Neyman, Bo Waggoner
https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.05271 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2512.05271 https://arxiv.org/html/2512.05271
arXiv:2512.05271v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: We study the problem of robust forecast aggregation: combining expert forecasts with provable accuracy guarantees compared to the best possible aggregation of the underlying information. Prior work shows strong impossibility results, e.g. that even under natural assumptions, no aggregation of the experts' individual forecasts can outperform simply following a random expert (Neyman and Roughgarden, 2022).
In this paper, we introduce a more general framework that allows the principal to elicit richer information from experts through structured queries. Our framework ensures that experts will truthfully report their underlying beliefs, and also enables us to define notions of complexity over the difficulty of asking these queries. Under a general model of independent but overlapping expert signals, we show that optimal aggregation is achievable in the worst case with each complexity measure bounded above by the number of agents $n$. We further establish tight tradeoffs between accuracy and query complexity: aggregation error decreases linearly with the number of queries, and vanishes when the "order of reasoning" and number of agents relevant to a query is $\omega(\sqrt{n})$. These results demonstrate that modest extensions to the space of expert queries dramatically strengthen the power of robust forecast aggregation. We therefore expect that our new query framework will open up a fruitful line of research in this area.
toXiv_bot_toot

Five people were arrested following hundreds of investigative hours following 💥 the shooting of Judge Steven Meyer and his wife, Kimberly, in Lafayette Indiana
on Jan. 18.
Both victims were in a stable condition following the attack,
which happened around 2:17 p.m.
The judge was injured on an arm, his wife on her hip.
Raylen Ferguson, 38, from Lexington, Kentucky;
Thomas Moss, 43, from Lafayette
and Blake Smith, 32, from Lafayette,
were all ar…

5 arrested in connection with shooting of Indiana judge and his wife
Police have arrested five people as part of a multi-state investigation into the shooting of an Indiana judge and his wife while they were at home on Sunday

#Iran : Mosquée incendiée Š #Téhéran. Elle serait fréquentée par les forces de répression.
Source non vérifiée

WTF does kidnapping a foreign leader on his own soil have to do with US Law Enforcement?
"This operation was done in conjunction with U.S. Law Enforcement"
Trump says US forces have captured Nicolas Maduro
Here's text from a Truth Social post:
"The United States of America has successfully carried out a large scale strike against Venezuela and its leader, President Nicolas Maduro, who has been, along with his wife, captured and flown out of the Cou…

Donald Trump says US forces have 'captured' Venezuelan leader Nicolas Maduro
US President Donald Trump says the US has "captured" Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, who earlier declared a national emergency and hit out at US "military aggression" after attacks in the capital, Caracas.

Snowflake reports Q3 product revenue up 29% YoY to $1.16B, and forecasts Q4 adjusted operating income margin below estimates; SNOW drops 7% after hours (Brody Ford/Bloomberg)
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-0…