Tootfinder

Choosing observables that capture critical slowing down before tipping points: A Fokker-Planck operator approach
Johannes Lohmann, Georg A. Gottwald
https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.11735

Choosing observables that capture critical slowing down before tipping points: A Fokker-Planck operator approach
Tipping points (TP) are abrupt transitions between metastable states in complex systems, most often described by a bifurcation or crisis of a multistable system induced by a slowly changing control parameter. An avenue for predicting TPs in real-world systems is critical slowing down (CSD), which is a decrease in the relaxation rate after perturbations prior to a TP that can be measured by statistical early warning signals (EWS) in the autocovariance of observational time series. In high-dimens…