Tootfinder

Correlated double ramification cycle formula
Thomas Blomme, Francesca Carocci
https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.24721 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2509.24721

Correlated double ramification cycle formula
We prove a refinement of Pixton's formula for the double ramification cycle with target variety which takes into account the correlator of a rubber map previously introduced by the authors. To do so, we need to: reinterpret the correlator in terms of (logarithmic) roots of the trivial line bundle; refine the natural stratification of the boundary of moduli of maps to keep track of how torsion line bundles on the target variety pull-back. We apply the refined DR cycle formula to compute 0-correl…

Santa Cycle Rampage! December 6th, 2025 in Milwaukee and December 13th, 2025 in Madison.
"Santa Cycle Rampage is a fun way to raise critical funds that support youth and family based education and encouragement programs. These events provide critical financial support to our programs that help kids and families get riding safely and more often!"

Doubly robust pointwise confidence intervals for a monotonic continuous treatment effect curve
Charles R. Doss
https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.08415 https://arx…

Doubly robust pointwise confidence intervals for a monotonic continuous treatment effect curve
We study nonparametric inference for the causal dose-response (or treatment effect) curve when the treatment variable is continuous rather than binary or discrete. We do this by developing doubly robust confidence intervals for the continuous treatment effect curve (at a fixed point) under the assumption that it is monotonic, based on inverting a likelihood ratio-type test. Monotonicity of the treatment effect curve is often a very natural assumption, and this assumption removes the need to cho…