Tootfinder

#DJTs volatile #tariff tantrums are inflicting greater damage than expected, but those caustic cash crisis effects are largely concentrated in the U.S. economy according to analysis by global experts studying matter with Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.
Mfg data in US at lowest numbers since 2009…

America is the biggest loser in Trump's trade war, OECD says
A brutal new forecast shows slowing economic growth. The irony? The U.S. is suffering the most from its own tariff policy

Simon Michel, directeur d’Ypsomed: «Je ne crois pas que ces taxes disparaîtront durant les huit prochaines années»
Production en Allemagne, accélération de la création d’un site aux Etats-Unis, l’entreprise bernoise Ypsomed esquisse déjŠ sa parade aux droits de douane. Son directeur, élu PLR, s’attend Š une période sombre que la Suisse pourrait utiliser Š son avantage.
https://www.letemps.ch/economie/simon-michel-directeur-d-ypsomed-je-ne-crois-pas-que-ces-taxes-disparaitront-durant-les-huit-prochaines-annees?shouldPreventPurchase=true&inAppView=3.18.1&didomiConfig.user.externalConsent.value={"purposes":{"consent":{"enabled":["audiencem-hJxaeGrR","cookies","create_ads_profile","create_content_profile","device_characteristics","geolocation_data","improve_products","market_research","measure_ad_performance","measure_content_performance","parselyne-Ya2EC4dG","select_basic_ads","select_personalized_ads","select_personalized_content","use_limited_data_to_select_content"],"disabled":[]},"legitimate_interest":{"enabled":[],"disabled":[]}},"vendors":{"consent":{"enabled":["amazon","c:aws-cloudfront","c:bannerwise-EeHwBjLT","c:chartbeat","c:cloudflare","c:echobox-GqD96L9K","c:forecast-ZRJPAUT7","c:googleana-4TXnJigR","c:hotjar","c:jsdelivr-xdD77X6w","c:jw-player","c:keycdn","c:linkedin","c:magnitein-ePEpbCQ7","c:meta-43HDmFRa","c:microsoft","c:nonli-jnWf8kqD","c:pianohybr-R3VKC2r4","c:pinterest","c:spyri-XAtBPx3i","c:tapadinc-VDTUUcKw","c:tiktok-KZAUQLZ9","c:unrulygro-nKyLqdKi","c:youtube","facebook","google","twitter",1,10,1020,1021,1046,1069,108,109,11,1126,12,120,128,13,130,131,1310,132,136,137,138,142,143,154,156,16,164,202,209,21,211,23,238,24,241,243,25,253,264,28,284,290,30,301,32,36,39,4,412,422,45,469,475,493,50,519,52,559,58,61,612,617,68,684,69,73,76,77,783,790,793,80,81,811,84,85,855,898,91,92,95,965,98],"disabled":[]},"legitimate_interest":{"enabled":[],"disabled":[]}},"user_id":"36B03261-8BC8-4FB4-A026-0543FF748710","created":"2025-05-28T08:36:56.058Z","updated":"2025-07-29T18:14:07.251Z","source":{"type":"app","domain":"ch.letemps.LT"},"action":"webview"}

'In the local data that the audit examined from three [THREE] police forces, they identified clear evidence of “over-representation among suspects of Asian and Pakistani-heritage men”.
'However, the review also criticised the ongoing failure to collect ethnicity at a national level, with it not recorded for two-thirds of perpetrators, making it impossible “to provide any accurate assessment from the nationally collected data”.'
Not so conclusive then.

What is the Casey report on UK grooming gangs – and why did Labour U-turn?
The report addressed the UK’s institutional failure to protect children and teenage girls from sexual exploitation.

« La transformation de notre empreinte industrielle en Suisse a commencé en 2015 quand la Banque nationale suisse a décidé de découpler l’euro et le franc. En dix ans, nous avons eu le covid, la guerre en Ukraine qui a fait exploser les coûts de l’énergie, l’initiative de l’UDC sur la Suisse Š 10 millions… La politique de Donald Trump s’ajoute Š tout cela. Avec ces éléments combinés, nous investissons naturellement moins en Suisse. » ~ Simon Michel
https://www.letemps.ch/economie/simon-michel-directeur-d-ypsomed-je-ne-crois-pas-que-ces-taxes-disparaitront-durant-les-huit-prochaines-annees?shouldPreventPurchase=true&inAppView=3.18.1&didomiConfig.user.externalConsent.value={"purposes":{"consent":{"enabled":["audiencem-hJxaeGrR","cookies","create_ads_profile","create_content_profile","device_characteristics","geolocation_data","improve_products","market_research","measure_ad_performance","measure_content_performance","parselyne-Ya2EC4dG","select_basic_ads","select_personalized_ads","select_personalized_content","use_limited_data_to_select_content"],"disabled":[]},"legitimate_interest":{"enabled":[],"disabled":[]}},"vendors":{"consent":{"enabled":["amazon","c:aws-cloudfront","c:bannerwise-EeHwBjLT","c:chartbeat","c:cloudflare","c:echobox-GqD96L9K","c:forecast-ZRJPAUT7","c:googleana-4TXnJigR","c:hotjar","c:jsdelivr-xdD77X6w","c:jw-player","c:keycdn","c:linkedin","c:magnitein-ePEpbCQ7","c:meta-43HDmFRa","c:microsoft","c:nonli-jnWf8kqD","c:pianohybr-R3VKC2r4","c:pinterest","c:spyri-XAtBPx3i","c:tapadinc-VDTUUcKw","c:tiktok-KZAUQLZ9","c:unrulygro-nKyLqdKi","c:youtube","facebook","google","twitter",1,10,1020,1021,1046,1069,108,109,11,1126,12,120,128,13,130,131,1310,132,136,137,138,142,143,154,156,16,164,202,209,21,211,23,238,24,241,243,25,253,264,28,284,290,30,301,32,36,39,4,412,422,45,469,475,493,50,519,52,559,58,61,612,617,68,684,69,73,76,77,783,790,793,80,81,811,84,85,855,898,91,92,95,965,98],"disabled":[]},"legitimate_interest":{"enabled":[],"disabled":[]}},"user_id":"36B03261-8BC8-4FB4-A026-0543FF748710","created":"2025-05-28T08:36:56.058Z","updated":"2025-07-29T18:14:07.251Z","source":{"type":"app","domain":"ch.letemps.LT"},"action":"webview"}

Forecasting Climate Policy Uncertainty: Evidence from the United States
Donia Besher, Anirban Sengupta, Tanujit Chakraborty
https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.12276 https://

Forecasting Climate Policy Uncertainty: Evidence from the United States
Forecasting Climate Policy Uncertainty (CPU) is essential as policymakers strive to balance economic growth with environmental goals. High levels of CPU can slow down investments in green technologies, make regulatory planning more difficult, and increase public resistance to climate reforms, especially during times of economic stress. This study addresses the challenge of forecasting the US CPU index by building the Bayesian Structural Time Series (BSTS) model with a large set of covariates, i…

Le coprésident du Parti socialiste Cédric Wermuth estime, dans un message publié sur le réseau Bluesky, que «3 mesures s’imposent désormais» face aux actions américaines. Il demande la suspension de l’acquisition des F-35, ainsi que l’accélération des Bilatérales III. Enfin il appelle Š «renoncer aux programmes de dérégulation irréfléchis et élaborer avec les partenaires sociaux des solutions sectorielles pour protéger les emplois».
https://www.letemps.ch/economie/en-direct-guerre-commerciale-suspense-pour-la-suisse-et-d-autres-pays-a-propos-des-taxes-douanieres-americaines?shouldPreventPurchase=true&inAppView=3.18.1&didomiConfig.user.externalConsent.value={"purposes":{"consent":{"enabled":["audiencem-hJxaeGrR","cookies","create_ads_profile","create_content_profile","device_characteristics","geolocation_data","improve_products","market_research","measure_ad_performance","measure_content_performance","parselyne-Ya2EC4dG","select_basic_ads","select_personalized_ads","select_personalized_content","use_limited_data_to_select_content"],"disabled":[]},"legitimate_interest":{"enabled":[],"disabled":[]}},"vendors":{"consent":{"enabled":["amazon","c:aws-cloudfront","c:bannerwise-EeHwBjLT","c:chartbeat","c:cloudflare","c:echobox-GqD96L9K","c:forecast-ZRJPAUT7","c:googleana-4TXnJigR","c:hotjar","c:jsdelivr-xdD77X6w","c:jw-player","c:keycdn","c:linkedin","c:magnitein-ePEpbCQ7","c:meta-43HDmFRa","c:microsoft","c:nonli-jnWf8kqD","c:pianohybr-R3VKC2r4","c:pinterest","c:spyri-XAtBPx3i","c:tapadinc-VDTUUcKw","c:tiktok-KZAUQLZ9","c:unrulygro-nKyLqdKi","c:youtube","facebook","google","twitter",1,10,1020,1021,1046,1069,108,109,11,1126,12,120,128,13,130,131,1310,132,136,137,138,142,143,154,156,16,164,202,209,21,211,23,238,24,241,243,25,253,264,28,284,290,30,301,32,36,39,4,412,422,45,469,475,493,50,519,52,559,58,61,612,617,68,684,69,73,76,77,783,790,793,80,81,811,84,85,855,898,91,92,95,965,98],"disabled":[]},"legitimate_interest":{"enabled":[],"disabled":[]}},"user_id":"36B03261-8BC8-4FB4-A026-0543FF748710","created":"2025-05-28T08:36:56.058Z","updated":"2025-07-29T18:14:07.251Z","source":{"type":"app","domain":"ch.letemps.LT"},"action":"webview"}

Advancing Exchange Rate Forecasting: Leveraging Machine Learning and AI for Enhanced Accuracy in Global Financial Markets
Md. Yeasin Rahat, Rajan Das Gupta, Nur Raisa Rahman, Sudipto Roy Pritom, Samiur Rahman Shakir, Md Imrul Hasan Showmick, Md. Jakir Hossen
https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.09851

Advancing Exchange Rate Forecasting: Leveraging Machine Learning and AI for Enhanced Accuracy in Global Financial Markets
The prediction of foreign exchange rates, such as the US Dollar (USD) to Bangladeshi Taka (BDT), plays a pivotal role in global financial markets, influencing trade, investments, and economic stability. This study leverages historical USD/BDT exchange rate data from 2018 to 2023, sourced from Yahoo Finance, to develop advanced machine learning models for accurate forecasting. A Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network is employed, achieving an exceptional accuracy of 99.449%, a Root Mean Sq…

Diffusion index forecasts under weaker loadings: PCA, ridge regression, and random projections
Tom Boot, Bart Keijsers
https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.09575 htt…

Diffusion index forecasts under weaker loadings: PCA, ridge regression, and random projections
We study the accuracy of forecasts in the diffusion index forecast model with possibly weak loadings. The default option to construct forecasts is to estimate the factors through principal component analysis (PCA) on the available predictor matrix, and use the estimated factors to forecast the outcome variable. Alternatively, we can directly relate the outcome variable to the predictors through either ridge regression or random projections. We establish that forecasts based on PCA, ridge regres…

Thomas Cottier estime que c’est une erreur de miser uniquement sur les négociations avec le président américain: «Il ne suffit pas d’apaiser Trump. La Suisse manque de stratégie».
Thomas Cottier, plaide pour une contestation juridique auprès de l’OMC, en effet, selon lui, «la simple négociation d’accords poursuivie par le Conseil fédéral revient en revanche Š reconnaître des situations illégales». Et dans ce cas, rien n’empêchera Trump d'«extorquer d’autres concessions».
https://www.letemps.ch/economie/en-direct-guerre-commerciale-suspense-pour-la-suisse-et-d-autres-pays-a-propos-des-taxes-douanieres-americaines?shouldPreventPurchase=true&inAppView=3.18.1&didomiConfig.user.externalConsent.value={"purposes":{"consent":{"enabled":["audiencem-hJxaeGrR","cookies","create_ads_profile","create_content_profile","device_characteristics","geolocation_data","improve_products","market_research","measure_ad_performance","measure_content_performance","parselyne-Ya2EC4dG","select_basic_ads","select_personalized_ads","select_personalized_content","use_limited_data_to_select_content"],"disabled":[]},"legitimate_interest":{"enabled":[],"disabled":[]}},"vendors":{"consent":{"enabled":["amazon","c:aws-cloudfront","c:bannerwise-EeHwBjLT","c:chartbeat","c:cloudflare","c:echobox-GqD96L9K","c:forecast-ZRJPAUT7","c:googleana-4TXnJigR","c:hotjar","c:jsdelivr-xdD77X6w","c:jw-player","c:keycdn","c:linkedin","c:magnitein-ePEpbCQ7","c:meta-43HDmFRa","c:microsoft","c:nonli-jnWf8kqD","c:pianohybr-R3VKC2r4","c:pinterest","c:spyri-XAtBPx3i","c:tapadinc-VDTUUcKw","c:tiktok-KZAUQLZ9","c:unrulygro-nKyLqdKi","c:youtube","facebook","google","twitter",1,10,1020,1021,1046,1069,108,109,11,1126,12,120,128,13,130,131,1310,132,136,137,138,142,143,154,156,16,164,202,209,21,211,23,238,24,241,243,25,253,264,28,284,290,30,301,32,36,39,4,412,422,45,469,475,493,50,519,52,559,58,61,612,617,68,684,69,73,76,77,783,790,793,80,81,811,84,85,855,898,91,92,95,965,98],"disabled":[]},"legitimate_interest":{"enabled":[],"disabled":[]}},"user_id":"36B03261-8BC8-4FB4-A026-0543FF748710","created":"2025-05-28T08:36:56.058Z","updated":"2025-07-29T18:14:07.251Z","source":{"type":"app","domain":"ch.letemps.LT"},"action":"webview"}

With more than 160 people still missing, and approx 130 confirmed dead in #TexasFlood , the economic toll estimates range up to $22bn in costs ...
A UK #Guardian reporter notes just days before the devastating deluge #TedCruz…