Tootfinder

Early warning signals in rumor models
Eva Rif\`a, Julian Vicens, Emanuele Cozzo
https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.24795 https://arxiv.org/pd…

Early warning signals in rumor models
We study the emission and control of a rumor using the modified Maki-Thomson model. A key challenge in social networks is distinguishing between natural increases in transmissibility and artificial injections of rumor spreaders, such as through broadcast events or astroturfing. Using stochastic simulations, we compare two scenarios: one with organic growth in transmissibility, and another with externally injected spreaders. Although both lead to high autocorrelation, only the organic growth pro…