Tootfinder

Twenty-two U.S. states are either on the brink of an economic recession or already in one,
according to a new analysis from Moody's Analytics.
Moody's Chief Economist Mark Zandi shared the findings,
saying that states making up nearly a third of the national gross domestic product
are either in or at high risk of recession,
with another third just holding steady, and the remaining third growing.

Isto é porreiro, especialmente para calar a boca aos tipinhos do norte da Europa, que ainda andam com a cabeça cheia de porcos.
Mas sabem o que era mesmo, MESMO porreiro? Era que a malta sentisse alguma coisa dessa liderança.
Infelizmente, o que se sente é o inverso.
https://mastodon.mediafaro.o…

Nowcasting and aggregation: Why small Euro area countries matter
Andrii Babii, Luca Barbaglia, Eric Ghysels, Jonas Striaukas
https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.24780 https://

Nowcasting and aggregation: Why small Euro area countries matter
The paper studies the nowcasting of Euro area Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth using mixed data sampling machine learning panel data regressions with both standard macro releases and daily news data. Using a panel of 19 Euro area countries, we investigate whether directly nowcasting the Euro area aggregate is better than weighted individual country nowcasts. Our results highlight the importance of the information from small- and medium-sized countries, particularly when including the COVID-1…

A recent paper in the American Economic Review analysed the performance of 51 populist presidents and prime ministers, from 1900 to 2020. It found that on average, after 15 years, gross domestic product per head tends to be 10% lower in countries run by populist leaders than in similar economies with more mainstream regimes.
https://www.theguardian.com/news/ng-interactive/2025/oct/26/do-populists-always-crash-the-economy?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other