Tootfinder

Every time leftists talk about escalating against Trump, liberals point out that Trump is looking for an excuse to invoke the insurrection act. This is true. But they don't notice that he's the least popular president in history and the military has largely already made it clear that they won't be used against civilians. That risk assessment completely lacks context.
Trump could not possibly win against an insurgency because the only thing he could possibly offer to end it would be his own resignation. If Trump tried to escalate to civil war he would either lose or be removed.
More importantly, Trump compulsively escalates. He will continue to start wars because he thinks he's doing a good job and he's a hero. When he gets frustrated at some foreign enemy because he's actually completely incompetent and only able to win against incompetent and wildly unpopular opponents, he threatens war crimes.
I am familiar enough with history to fully believe that he ordered a nuclear strike last night and people said "no." Humanity has been saved multiple times by people refusing to follow orders, and you don't find out until years later. (This is also not the first story of a president dangerously deep in mental decline. Reagan lost the nuclear football.)
The longer this goes on, the greater the risk that eventually someone will actually let him do something unthinkable. But that's significantly less likely if he's trying to fight within the US border.
Just looking at things from a risk perspective, "he's going to invoke the insurrection act" is not nearly as big of a threat as democrats think it is, and it's about time they think realistically about this fact.

Until Sen. Bernie Sanders began holding rallies in Republican-held districts to address DOGE’s destructive impact on federal workers and programs,
most progressives had not dared to dream of rural America as fertile ground for a backlash.
But it’s central to the concept of the "Rural Urban Bridge Initiative" ( #RUBI ),
a group determined to breathe new life into rural organizing st…

Sowing a Rural Insurgency
New organizing groups agitate for a healthy share of resources to rebuild the Democratic image in left-behind communities.

Great article by @… on how insurgencies and nonviolent protests work - what their goals and frameworks are, how they achieve their goal, and how „mixing and matching“ between the playbooks will defeat itself - especially violent actions in support of a non-violent movement.

Collections: Against the State – A Primer on Terrorism, Insurgency and Protest
This week, continuing in the vein of some of our previous strategy and military theory primers, I wanted to off a basic 101-level survey of the strategic theory behind efforts, in a sense, directed…

I think the thing the video fails to stress enough is the importance of the revolutionary program to the insurgency. Che failed because he failed to pay attention to his own lessons (and perhaps didn't fully understand them) about the primacy of the revolutionary program.
The true power of the insurgency comes from the things the state *cannot* compromise on.

In my head I'm just replacing "counter insurgency" with "horse cavalry."
"We're going to keep learning how to leverage horse cavalry against machine guns and tanks until we get it right."
No. No you will not. You will keep trying until you learn the hard way that it can't be done.

It's also critical to understand the Democratic Party as part of the counter-insurgency program. While the current regime has no ability to recover, the state can maintain a fallback position with the Democratic Party.

It should be easy to see how state escalation across the US (especially MLPS) is a strong indicator of a failing counter-insurgency effort.
Force escalations in other areas are, likewise, a strong counter-indicator of success. Given that Trump only know how to escalate, you can assess for yourself the direction of the next few years.