Tootfinder

Linking climate and dengue in the Philippines using a two-stage Bayesian spatio-temporal model
Stephen Jun Villejo, Sara Martino, Janine Illian
https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.22334

Linking climate and dengue in the Philippines using a two-stage Bayesian spatio-temporal model
Dengue is an infectious disease which poses significant socioeconomic and disease burden in many tropical and subtropical regions of the world. This work aims to provide additional insight into the association between dengue and climate in the Philippines. We employ a two-stage modelling framework: the first stage fits climate models, while the second stage fits a health model that uses the climate predictions from the first stage as inputs. We postulate a Bayesian spatio-temporal model and use…