Tootfinder

Bettors on the prediction platform #Polymarket made a killing with suspiciously timed wagers that the United States would attack Iran by February 28
-- the day Donald Trump announced a bombing campaign against the Middle East nation.
Bloomberg reported that six accounts on Polymarket
-- all newly created this month
-- “made around $1 million in profit” by betting on the timing of th…

'Insane This Is Legal': Bettors Make Huge Profits From Suspiciously Timed Wagers on Iran War | Common Dreams
"Reminder that Donald Trump Jr. sits on Polymarket's advisory board and his firm invested double-digit millions into the platform last year."

The US Senate unanimously passed a rule barring senators from trading on prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket, amid rising concern over insider trading (Dan Mangan/CNBC)
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/04/30/senate-prediction-markets-trading-ba…

U.S. senators ban themselves from prediction markets trading
The move came after Democratic lawmakers asked the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to prohibit event contracts on elections, war and military actions.

Polymarket Iran Bets Hit $529 Million as New Wallets Draw Notice (Emily Nicolle/Bloomberg)
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-02-28/polymarket-iran-bets-hit-529-million-as-new-wallets-draw-notice?accessToken=eyJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiIsInR5cCI6IkpXVCJ9.eyJzb3VyY2UiOiJTdWJzY3JpYmVyR2lmdGVkQXJ0aWNsZSIsImlhdCI6MTc3MjMyODk4OSwiZXhwIjoxNzcyOTMzNzg5LCJhcnRpY2xlSWQiOiJUQjZKOVdLR0lGUTMwMCIsImJjb25uZWN0SWQiOiJGOUU0RDg4NjE3MkM0Nzc3QUVFMDk3NTdCODRDQTlBRCJ9.2U5_jslnRNuct9hoLhRXF9q6vWT4H0hfM0U8c3jBrPE
http://www.memeorandum.com/260228/p91#a260228p91

Yeah, so, please don’t buy this. @… https://social.vivaldi.net/@cmthiede/116217178590076213

So Wisconsin isn't allowed to enforce laws that ban gambling in the state?
"Last week, the #Wisconsin Department of Justice announced lawsuits against #Kalshi, Robinhood, Coinbase, #Polymarket and Crypto.com for allegedly facilitating illegal sports betting on their platforms. A lawsuit filed Wednesday by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, or CFTC, in response to those lawsuits alleges Wisconsin is attempting to interfere with “federally regulated markets.”"
https://www.wpr.org/news/federal-government-sues-wisconsin-prediction-markets-platforms

OpenAI fired an employee for insider trading on prediction markets like Polymarket; Unusual Whales has flagged 77 suspected insider trades around OpenAI events (Kate Knibbs/Wired)
https://www.wired.com/story/openai-fires-employee-insider-trading-polymarke…

OpenAI Fires an Employee for Prediction Market Insider Trading
Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi are big business, and some Big Tech employees are testing boundaries by making trades based on insider knowledge.

Combine intel with Trevor Sikkema, Marc Ross and James Palmer https://www.raiders.com/video/nfl-combine-intel-trevor-sikkema-marc-ross-james-palmer

Polymarket partners with Chainalysis to deploy detection models to "surface patterns consistent with insider knowledge in prediction markets" and other tools (Bloomberg)
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-0…

Polymarket trades on contracts tied to strikes on Iran hit $529M, and six new accounts profited a total of $1M by betting on the US to strike Iran by Feb. 28 (Emily Nicolle/Bloomberg)
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/20

Sources: Paradigm, a major investor in Kalshi, is building its own prediction markets trading terminal that will cater to professional traders and market makers (Ben Weiss/Fortune)
https://fortune.com/2026/04/01/paradigm-prediction-…

Exclusive: Paradigm, a major investor in Kalshi, is building its own prediction markets trading terminal, say sources
The longtime crypto venture firm has invested three times over into Kalshi, and Paradigm’s managing partner Matt Huang is on the startup’s board.