Tootfinder

Calculating Empires is a fascinating analysis but listen the audio tour to not get totally lost 🙂
#geopolitics

Calculating Empires: A Genealogy of Technology and Power since 1500
Explore how technical and social structures co-evolved over five centuries in this large-scale research visualization.

Trump already changed course about his 20% fee, now babbling about other fantasies. Nobody takes him seriously anymore. His words are becoming meaningless.
#trump #hormuz #geopolitics

I'm honestly worried Trump will sell out just about anyone or anything when he meets Xi, as long as it pads his pockets or lets him brag about a 'win'.
#trump #Xi #geopolitics

It's quite predictable Trump will sign something with Iran before markets open on Monday. Whether it means anything is doubtful. Stocks will rise, oil prices will fall however, at least for a few days...
#usa #iran

Mafia practices, typical Trump. Also completely unrealistic, illegal and probably impossible to implement...
#Trump #Hormuz #Iran

A well-crafted scenario, where scenarios don't have to be exactly accurate but make you think and this one certainly does.
#ai

Europe 2031 — What getting AI wrong means for us
A five-year scenario about AI and Europe's impending slide into irrelevance, with a 2034 epilogue that describes how the collapse of the European model could have been prevented.

"Making defence European again"
#geopolitics

Making defence European again – European Council on Foreign Relations
The Russian threat is not going away any time soon. To defend themselves without America’s help, Europeans need to pursue a new, distinctly European model of de

The ceasefire between the USA and Iran is clearly over, so probably the next predictable step is another round of strikes by Israel and the US.
#geopolitics #iran #usa

So Trump will probably make some kind of quick “peace deal” with Iran, pull back his forces and leave the Middle East and the rest of the world with the mess he has created. But also with the enormous damage to the world economy.
#trump #iran

If the situation becomes dire, Putin could start with laying bombs in europe, for example at munitions factories, drone production facilities etc. If the attacks are only just a little bit deniable, Trump will not lift a finger, no art.5 NATO will be involved. I am wondering if people in Europe are mentally prepared for that.
#geopolitics

We are getting used to the carnage and destruction in Kyiv sadly, compare that to Ukrainian attacks that at least try to not hit pure civilian targets. Putin on the other hand wants to maximize terror under civilians.
#ukraine #russia

So if there is peace today, Hormuz will not be safe for the next six months. And peace is not even close. Governments have to adjust their scenarios if this estimate is correct. Flow of oil will be disrupted for a long time.
#iran #usa

Clearing Strait of Hormuz of mines could take 6 months, Pentagon tells Congress
The Pentagon assessment, shared in a classified briefing for lawmakers, suggests gasoline and oil prices could remain elevated through the midterm elections.

I am not sure whether blowing a hole in the engine room of a ship can be called a "ceasefire" 🤔
#trump #iran #usa

Smart move diplomatically by Iran, opening the strait of Hormuz, makes them look "in control" ,
#hormuz #iran #usa

The new toll booth in the middle east.
#hormuz #tollbooth #iran
#geopolitics
(via