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@ErikJonker@mastodon.social
2026-04-22 08:03:02

If the situation becomes dire, Putin could start with laying bombs in europe, for example at munitions factories, drone production facilities etc. If the attacks are only just a little bit deniable, Trump will not lift a finger, no art.5 NATO will be involved. I am wondering if people in Europe are mentally prepared for that.
#geopolitics

@ErikJonker@mastodon.social
2026-03-21 20:37:57

Israël getting hit by ballistic missiles, Dimona and Arad, but almost no news coverage on mainstream websites (yet).
#iran #israel #geopolitics

@ErikJonker@mastodon.social
2026-02-22 19:05:02

This infographic is going around about the deployement of US forces in the Middle East, you can argue about some details but it illustrates the sheer size of the deployement.
#USA #Iran #geopolitics

US forces in the Middle East
@ErikJonker@mastodon.social
2026-02-20 19:47:15

The practical implications of abolishing the current tariffs and replacing them with the overall 10% tariff will be interesting, will all made trade deals change? Or renegotiated? Chaos. De-invest from the US, move to Europe.
#Trump #geopolitics

@ErikJonker@mastodon.social
2026-04-22 17:05:08

So if there is peace today, Hormuz will not be safe for the next six months. And peace is not even close. Governments have to adjust their scenarios if this estimate is correct. Flow of oil will be disrupted for a long time.
#iran #usa

@ErikJonker@mastodon.social
2026-03-22 18:53:33

Good read, how Trump is setting himself up for failure.
#iran #usa #trump #geopolitics

@ErikJonker@mastodon.social
2026-04-19 20:18:03

I am not sure whether blowing a hole in the engine room of a ship can be called a "ceasefire" 🤔
#trump #iran #usa

Message from Trump about stopping a ship and blowing a hole in the engine room
@ErikJonker@mastodon.social
2026-03-16 01:20:45

Oh sure and now the threatening starts....
#trump #iran #geopolitics @…

Trump threatens allies
@ErikJonker@mastodon.social
2026-03-14 19:19:25

The deranged US president who first could defeat Iran completely by himself now suddenly wants other countries to join a "team effort"...
#trump #iran #geopolitics @…

Trump message
@ErikJonker@mastodon.social
2026-04-17 13:15:18

Smart move diplomatically by Iran, opening the strait of Hormuz, makes them look "in control" ,
#hormuz #iran #usa

Iran announcing the opening of the strait of Hormuz
@ErikJonker@mastodon.social
2026-03-18 05:55:52

It is terrible to see a large part of Lebanon getting "the Gaza treatment" and nobody is stopping Israel. Many innocent civilians are dying and good to remember, Lebanon is another country and not part of Israel....
#israel #lebanon

@ErikJonker@mastodon.social
2026-03-04 16:30:36

The cynical part is that when all possible targets in Iran are destroyed, Trump will declare victory, leave and let the rest of the world deal with the consequences and instability.
#iran #usa #geopolitics

@ErikJonker@mastodon.social
2026-04-01 17:21:11

Good to repeat, NATO has useful standards, processes and procedures which can transfer to a new alliance without the USA but including most European countries and Canada.
#NATO #geopolitics

@ErikJonker@mastodon.social
2026-04-02 04:59:36

It's maddening that Trump and Trump only plunges the world into war and an energycrisis/recession. Also remember all those dumb Trump voters and supporters who brought him to power while it was clear what would happen...
#trump #geopolitics @…

@ErikJonker@mastodon.social
2026-02-28 07:00:30

For Iran the question is can we just sit this one out , without striking back somewhere (with their limited capabilities) or do we have to do something to remain credible.
#geopolitics #iran #israel

@ErikJonker@mastodon.social
2026-02-28 06:37:49

So Trump let's Israël start the war with Iran so he can claim he didn't started it? 🤔
#iran #israel #geopolitics @…

@ErikJonker@mastodon.social
2026-03-29 16:48:45

Nice map which explains that oilshortages will start in a few weeks, not everywhere, some parts of the world will be fine.
#oil #energy #geopolitics

Oil shortages in the world
@ErikJonker@mastodon.social
2026-02-25 19:32:31

Hmmm, incident in Cuba...🤔
#cuba #usa #geopolitics @…

Incident in Cuba, Americans killed in speedboat by Cuban Coastguard
@ErikJonker@mastodon.social
2026-02-09 20:11:48

RE: #trump

@ErikJonker@mastodon.social
2026-04-07 10:47:38

With regard to Kharg Island I have no doubt the US can take this with a brilliant tactical operation with limited casualties, but holding it and achieving strategic objectives will be the hard part.
#iran #kharg #geopolitics

@ErikJonker@mastodon.social
2026-04-05 12:45:01

This is actually a real message from the president of the USA. I checked because it looked completely insane and criminal.
#trump #iran #usa

Trump
@ErikJonker@mastodon.social
2026-03-03 05:59:56

Rules of Engagement, adhering to international law, to your own constitution , has real advantages, that have nothing to do with idealism. Trump is throwing that all away and slowly but surely destroying US power and influence.
#usa #iran

@ErikJonker@mastodon.social
2026-03-01 16:26:32

So the "plan" in Iran is to destroy all military facilities in Iran and then wait for the people to remove IRGC from power which costed thousands of lives last time they tried it.... 🤔
#iran #usa #geopolitics

@ErikJonker@mastodon.social
2026-02-28 08:10:15

Trump is not attacking Iran for the Iranian people. If the Iranian people fight against their government he will watch from the sky, maybe offer some air support but will not get involved on the ground...
#iran #usa #geopolitics

@ErikJonker@mastodon.social
2026-02-23 15:25:54

Trump is threatening countries only because his position on tariffs and trade is now much weaker.
#Trump #tariffs #trade

Trump threat on truth.social
@ErikJonker@mastodon.social
2026-03-07 20:09:25

The UK letting the US use it’s airbases for attacking Iran is so dumb…..
#uk #usa #iran #geopolitics

@ErikJonker@mastodon.social
2026-03-03 19:51:07

So Trump first creates the problem and now you can pay him for protection, in true Mafia style.
#trump #iran #hormuz #geopolitics

Trump about insurance and protection of ships