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@ckent@urbanists.social
2026-06-19 11:16:59

A reminder that the obsession 50 years ago was #overpopulation — it was the scary message next to every practical environmental message about pollution, etc
Fast forward to now, and the opposite is true — no longer a case of “don’t worry, it’s just wealthy nations breed less”
In fact, environmentalism was always right about pollution — but the scary message is everything cost…

An overlay of 6 projections by the UN of world population growth 1999-2050, with multi-year forecasts created in 2012, 2017, 2015, 2019, 2022, 2024, overlaid onto actual population 1999-2026, showing how each of the forecast projections keeps overestimating the number of births.  Actual births in all of the 2020s is lower than every prediction 2012-2019 was forecasting to at least 2050.