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Structured Dimension-Matched Joint Variational Transdimensional Inference
Pingping Yin, Xiyun Jiao
https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.05607 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2608.05607 https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05607
arXiv:2608.05607v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Bayesian model selection couples a discrete model indicator with a model-specific continuous parameter space. We introduce structured dimension-matched variational transdimensional inference (SM-VTI) for finite enumerable model spaces. A rooted construction graph expresses a model as a sequence of local stop/child decisions. Each typed edge compiles a declared scientific parent-child edit into an exact native-coordinate dimension-matching lifting; an edge-conditioned flow then learns the residual continuous transport. The resulting local policy and conditional flow define one direct joint variational distribution, without embedding every model in a saturated maximum-dimensional surrogate. We derive its exact path density and optimize the joint reverse-KL objective. On a controlled 15-model target, SM-VTI-Joint recovers terminal masses, local actions, and nonlinear conditional geometry. On a 128-model misspecified robust variable-selection problem, a 10-data-set nearly parameter-matched affine comparison with AVTI shows stronger early model-mass recovery and competitive final joint accuracy under the same target-evaluation budget.
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