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@hex@kolektiva.social
2026-06-03 09:54:03

The whole #LLM ROI thing reveals something interesting. It's basically impossible to figure out the ROI of an LLM. That makes it impossible for bean counters to make a comparison between human work and LLM work, or human work without an LLM and LLM-assisted work, to determine if the incredibly high price is worth it. But it's also impossible because you can't measure the ROI of a human, especially for skilled labor.
You can't measure the ROI of a human, because managers have no idea what people do. There's an eternally expanding amount of work designed to address this problem. But no matter how closely people are surveilled, interrogated, analyzed, there's never any real answer.
I've talked in the past about in relation to medical care. One of the dirty secrets of hospitals is that they have no way to figure out how much individual treatment costs. It's easy to understand at scale. You can know exactly how much something costs society. You can even identify patterns, using public health models, and decrease costs for society by trying to get people to avoid risky behavior (stop smoking, use protection during sex, etc). But it is absolutely not possible, at all, in any way, to figure out how much a single visit costs. This is similar to the problem of predicting climate change vs predicting the weather tomorrow in Amsterdam at 15:00. One is possible, the other is simply not.
But what is becoming painfully clear now is that this is true *everywhere*. It's trivial to know how much an industry costs. It's possible to figure out it's ROI for society. It is not possible to figure out how much value any individual worker provides. LLM ROI and cost comparison is an instance of this larger problem.
This is a problem for capitalism because it shows that the fundamental assumptions behind capitalism, that product value and labor value are quantifiable, that people can actually make comparisons between competing products, etc, are completely bullshit. The capitalist apologetics that makes up so much of economics, the lies that are told that hold this system together, are crumbling before our eyes.
If you make a lot of money, it's because you've been lucky. You have the right social networks, you have become good at convincing people to give you money. There is absolutely no way to connect that to actually providing value to society. If you make a lot of money, internalize that. Understand that you are not special, and things can change. If you don't make a lot of money, it's not because you don't provide value. Don't forget that. The system is a lie built to destroy you. Don't let it.
The ideology is sick, something something time of monsters and all that, we are together in this dying machine. We need to understand the lies. Your value can never be quantified. The way we have always figured out how to do the right thing for each other is through each other. Social connection has always guided us. But now the most socially disconnected people on the planet have hijacked the system. They direct the resources of the world, and game the system to avoid personal responsibility.
We have to build a system where everyone is accountable. We can't use abstract numbers and lies to figure things out for us. We have to build systems around people and accountability. There is no other solution.

@memeorandum@universeodon.com
2026-05-03 20:45:29

Israel Said It's Applying the Gaza Model in Lebanon. This Is What the Devastation Looks Like. (Associated Press)
nytimes.com/interactive/2026/0
memeorandum.com/260503/p41#a26

@kurtsh@mastodon.social
2026-07-03 16:08:36

Remember when Xbox tried to move away from physical media to reduce distribution costs during the 2013 Xbox One launch?
And Sony pissed all over Microsoft for it? 🤔
✅ Xbox One loses some disc-free play, family game-sharing plan with revised policies

@cosmos4u@scicomm.xyz
2026-06-01 16:54:26

Destructuring the #disk of AB Aurigae - Dynamics and accretion: aanda.org/articles/aa/pdf/fort -> First ever live observation of the rotation of a planetary nursery / The spinning origins of a planetary system: cnrs.fr/en/press/first-ever-li / eso.org/public/videos/potw2622

@Techmeme@techhub.social
2026-06-01 12:15:45

SEC filing: Strategy sold 32 bitcoin between May 26 and May 31 for ~$2.5M at an average net price of $77,135 per coin, its first disclosed bitcoin disposal (Shaurya Malwa/CoinDesk)
coindesk.com/markets/2026/06/0

@arXiv_econTH_bot@mastoxiv.page
2026-04-03 07:55:41

Bridging Distant Ideas: the Impact of AI on R&D and Recombinant Innovation
Emanuele Bazzichi, Massimo Riccaboni, Fulvio Castellacci
arxiv.org/abs/2604.02189 arxiv.org/pdf/2604.02189 arxiv.org/html/2604.02189
arXiv:2604.02189v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: We study how artificial intelligence (AI) affects firms' incentives to pursue incremental versus radical knowledge recombinations. We develop a model of recombinant innovation embedded in a Schumpeterian quality-ladder framework, in which innovation arises from recombining ideas across varying distances in a knowledge space. R&D consists of multiple tasks, a fraction of which can be performed by AI. AI facilitates access to distant knowledge domains, but at the same time it also increases the aggregate rate of creative destruction, shortening the monopoly duration that rewards radical innovations. Moreover, excessive reliance on AI may reduce the originality of research and lead to duplication of research efforts. We obtain three main results. First, higher AI productivity encourages more distant recombinations, if the direct facilitation effect is stronger than the indirect effect due to intensified competition from rivals. Second, the effect of increasing the share of AI-automated R&D tasks is non-monotonic: firms initially target more radical innovations, but beyond a threshold of human-AI complementarity, they shift the focus toward incremental innovations. Third, in the limiting case of full automation, the model predicts that optimal recombination distance collapses to zero, suggesting that fully AI-driven research would undermine the very knowledge creation that it seeks to accelerate.
toXiv_bot_toot

@ddrake@mathstodon.xyz
2026-07-03 11:17:46

My 10-year-old daughter is making an ice cream truck out of cardboard, sized for one of her little stuffed animals. She is being very detailed, and has chosen the particular flavors of ice cream and sherbet the truck will have, and is making a menu sign.
Naturally she's putting prices on it. But she's not making numbers up, or asking us for a common price for a scoop of ice cream. (Which seems absurdly expensive these days -- I know, inflation, but, yikes.)
No, she's …

@memeorandum@universeodon.com
2026-06-03 20:35:47

District attorney challenges new Georgia law that removes party labels in Atlanta-area elections (Kate Brumback/Associated Press)
apnews.com/article/georgia-dis
memeorandum.com/260603/p83#a26

@exil_inselette@norden.social
2026-05-30 06:55:57

Kommt alle! Bitte unbedingt Retrööt 🔄
(Alt-Text der Rückseite verteilt auf beide Bilder, war zu lang)
#UnkürzbarDemo #hh3005 #Demo!

6. Juni / 12:45 Uhr / Gänsemarkt
Demonstration
gegen Kürzungen
und Sozialabbau
Es reicht! Für Alle!
Gegen die Sozialkürzungen
der Bundesregierung
Text von der Rückseite, Teil 1:
Wir haben die Schnauze voll von einer Bundesregierung, die das
Leben von Millionen Menschen, viele in prekären Lebenslagen,
weiter verschlechtert, während Reiche und Konzerne geschont
werden. Wir erleben eine systematische Umverteilung von unten
nach oben. Dieser Angriff auf den Sozialstaat wird begleitet von
Hetze g…
Alt-Text, Teil 2 Gleichzeitig wird der Acht-Stunden-Tag und die Lohnfortzahlung
im Krankheitsfall infrage gestellt. Die Liste der diskutierten
Maßnahmen ist endlos. Ihnen gemeinsam ist eine Arroganz
gegenüber allen Menschen, die mit hohen Lebenskosten,
steigenden Mieten und Reallohnverlusten täglich zu kämpfen
haben, die nicht wissen, wie sie die Rente in Würde verbringen
können und deren Gesundheit durch steigende Kosten
beeinträchtigt wird.
Wir nehmen den Besuch von Karin Prien (CDU),
Bunde…
@Techmeme@techhub.social
2026-07-01 09:55:53

The US sentences Guo Wengui, a self-exiled billionaire Chinese tycoon who defrauded his online followers out of hundreds of millions, to 30 years in prison (Associated Press)
apnews.com/article/guo-wengui-