
2025-06-02 10:11:38
Natura Urbana VII 🏡
城市自然 VII 🏡
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Electron-phonon vertex correction effect in superconducting H3S
Shashi B. Mishra, Hitoshi Mori, Elena R. Margine
https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.01897 https://
Urban Diaspora 7️⃣
城市放逐 7️⃣
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The full formula for the probability of "success" is:
p = {
1/(2^(-n 1)) if n is negative, or
1 - (1/(2^(n 1))) if n is zero or positive
}
(Both branches have the same value when n is 0, so the behavior is smooth around the origin.)
How can we tweak this?
First, we can introduce fixed success and/or failure chances unaffected by level, with this formula only taking effect if those don't apply. For example, you could do 10% failure, 80% by formula, and 10% success to keep things from being too sure either way even when levels are very high or low. On the other hand, this flattening makes the benefit of extra advantage levels even less exciting.
Second, we could allow for gradations of success/failure, and treat the coin pools I used to explain that math like dice pools a bit. An in-between could require linearly more success flips to achieve the next higher grade of success at each grade. For example, simple success on a crit role might mean dealing 1.5x damage, but if you succeed on 2 of your flips, you get 9/4 damage, or on 4 flips 27/8, or on 7 flips 81/16. In this world, stacking crit levels might be a viable build, and just giving up on armor would be super dangerous. In the particular case I was using this for just now, I can't easily do gradations of success (that's the reason I turned to probabilities in the first place) but I think I'd favor this approach when feasible.
The main innovation here over simple dice pools is how to handle situations where the number of dice should be negative. I'm almost certain it's not a truly novel innovation though, and some RPG fan can point out which system already does this (please actually do this, I'm an RPG nerd too at heart).
I'll leave this with one more tweak we could do: what if the number 2 in the probability equation were 3, or 2/3? I think this has a similar effect to just scaling all the modifiers a bit, but the algebra escapes me in this moment and I'm a bit lazy. In any case, reducing the base of the probability exponent should let you get a few more gradations near 50%, which is probably a good thing, since the default goes from 25% straight to 50% and then to 75% with no integer stops in between.
@… - I’ve been dragged around to art show openings here, and some other things, and the person I’m with insists people check out the last album. And quite a few people who know a lot more about visuals than me say the cover is “so beautiful”, or words to that effect, unprompted. Please know your work has Icelandic appreciators. 😄 Thanks for a top…
#WritersCoffeeClub 25th May 2025. Tell us about a non-writer who has had the most influence on your writing.
Let me assume that my teacher when I was 10 wasn't a writing person and say that their efforts to hold a poetry-Friday had an immense effect on me. We had a reason to write, and of course, we read each of the others writing. I have no idea whether our teacher wrote things …
In the Air - Outside of the Window II ✈️ ☁️
在空中 - 窗外 II ✈️ ☁️
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This AI phone agent is playing an audible sound effect of a clackety mechanical keyboard as if someone is listening and typing.
I understand what they are trying to do, but it has the complete opposite effect on me. Whatever goon middle manager opted for this? I want them to suffer.
And the amount of typing that it pretends is ludicrously longer than the information provided. It's like an amplifier for my irritation.
#WritersCoffeeClub 25th May 2025. Tell us about a non-writer who has had the most influence on your writing.
Let me assume that my teacher when I was 10 wasn't a writing person and say that their efforts to hold a poetry-Friday had an immense effect on me. We had a reason to write, and of course, we read each of the others writing. I have no idea whether our teacher wrote things …
Urban Rhythms 🎵
城市节奏 🎵
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Energy Spectra of Secondary Particles Induced by Solar Energetic Proton Events and Magnetospheric Effects
A. Chilingarian
https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.16269 …
Urban Rhythms 🎵
城市节奏 🎵
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New #preprint by Alex Koplenig and me:
"Statistical errors undermine claims about the evolution of polysynthetic languages". (#PNAS (#Linguistics
The ‘gollum effect' is certainly a thing. Seems to me it varies a lot by the research field and also applies to many other areas of society…
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-025-01588-w
@…
Urban Vegetation III 🌳
城市植被 III 🌳
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Urban Vegetation III 🌳
城市植被 III 🌳
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Urban Snaps II 📸
城市抓拍 II 📸
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Urban Life 101 🏙️
城市生活 101 🏙️
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Things that don’t Develop III 🧪
不显影的那些东西 III 🧪
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Things that don’t Develop III 🧪
不显影的那些东西 III 🧪
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Things that don’t Develop II🧪
不显影的那些东西 II🧪
📷 Pentax MX
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Things that don’t Develop II🧪
不显影的那些东西 II🧪
📷 Pentax MX
🎞️Lucky SHD 400
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#filmphotography