Tootfinder

Germany's Merz says Ukraine unlikely to join EU before 2034: https://benborges.xyz/2025/07/18/germanys-merz-says-ukraine-unlikely.html

Las Vegas Raiders rookie draws unlikely comparison to Maxx Crosby https://www.sportingnews.com/us/nfl/las-vegas-raiders/news/las-vegas-raiders-rookie-draws-unlikely-comparison-maxx-crosby/…

Dolphins being cautious with Achane's calf injury https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/46010058/dolphins-rb-devon-achane-calf-unlikely-practice-week

Rapidly intensifying Hurricane Erin becomes historic storm due to strengthening https://arstechnica.com/science/2025/08/hurricane-erin-sets-early-season-intensification-record-becomes-category-5-storm/

Hurricane Erin sets early season intensification record, becomes Category 5 storm
The good news is that, for now, Erin appears unlikely to directly strike land.

Series C, Episode 09 - Sarcophagus
VILA: I've got a headache. Cally had the right idea. I think I'll get some rest. [Starts to leave then pauses.] As if a storm were coming.
TARRANT: Rather unlikely in here, don't you think? [Vila exits.]
https://blake.torpidity.net/m/309/177…

Language learning has been part of me since high school. I'm solid in 2 non-English languages, crappy but survivable in 2 others. I've played with & started learning others many times.
I'm real busy rn, but language learning could be a fun thing to do for myself & make me feel like I'm still me.
But I'm stumped about my language picks. I learnt the obvious European languages in school; later tried key Asian languages. What do I want to do now?
African languages? I won't be getting a chance to use them much in Aus, & I'm unlikely to get to a stage where I can read literature.
I tried Slovenian/Slovene on a whim & really love it, but I'll never go there. Is the practical but unfun answer grind out more kanji/hanzi? Or is whimsically learning a language spoken by only 2.5 million people reasonable? I will continue struggling through with Ukrainian, 'cause I think it's important.
#LanguageLearning

Why the Supreme Court is Highly Unlikely to Overturn Obergefell in the Kim Davis Case (Ilya Somin/Reason)
https://reason.com/volokh/2025/08/13/why-the-supreme-court-is-highly-unlikely-to-overturn-obergefell-in-the-kim-davis-case/
http://www.memeorandum.com/250813/p101#a250813p101

Jensen Huang says Chinese military is unlikely to use Nvidia's AI chips, citing the risk of the chips being "limited at any time" due to US export restrictions (Ian King/Bloomberg)
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/20

Where does Shedeur Sanders fit in Cleveland? Latest reporting on Browns QB race as training camp opens

https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/where-d

Cowboys' secret weapon bringing 'energy' to practice is unlikely source https://www.si.com/nfl/cowboys/news/dallas-cowboys-secret-weapon-bringing-energy-practice-unlikely-source

Adjustable AprilTags For Identity Secured Tasks
Hao Li
https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.12304 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2508.12304

Adjustable AprilTags For Identity Secured Tasks
Special tags such as AprilTags that facilitate image processing and pattern recognition are useful in practical applications. In close and private environments, identity security is unlikely to be an issue because all involved AprilTags can be completely regulated. However, in open and public environments, identity security is no longer an issue that can be neglected. To handle potential harm caused by adversarial attacks, this note advocates utilization of adjustable AprilTags instead of fixed…

Trump’s tariffs are running up against the limits of nature
The deeper you delve into the weird and wonderful world of aluminum,
the more you realize there are physical limits that make a resurgence of U.S. production unlikely.

Raw supply isn’t the problem.
There is more aluminum in the Earth’s crust than any other metal.
But finding a way of extracting it and turning it into a usable form was something we achieved surprisingly recently. -- Until then, it was the mo…

Trump’s tariffs are running up against the limits of nature
U.S. geography makes it difficult to produce more aluminum — even with a 50 percent tariff for motivation.

Spain has 1.83 xG on 12 shots, hit the woodwork once, and have a PK miss. They've been unfortunate, perhaps, but the Swiss are hanging on in open play. Scrambling at times, sure, but not opened up yet.
The Swiss have nothing in attack... 2 shots, neither on target, for a woeful 0.05 xG. Can they find one moment on a counter? Can they continue to hang on, entrenched, when legs get heavy? Feels unlikely they'll be able to hold on for PKs.

Predicting temperature-dependent failure and transformation zones in 2D silica glass through quasistatic Gaussian Phase Packets
Miguel Sp\'inola, Shashank Saxena, Franz Bamer, Dennis M. Kochmann
https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.13960

Predicting temperature-dependent failure and transformation zones in 2D silica glass through quasistatic Gaussian Phase Packets
The athermal quasistatic (AQS) method is a powerful technique to study the mechanical behavior of disordered systems. However, its applicability is limited to temperatures near zero, where thermal activation is unlikely. In this work, we extend the AQS method to finite temperatures, based on a formulation that describes atoms as temperature-dependent Gaussian packets (GPPs) in phase space under quasistatic conditions, thus equivalent to minimum free energy conditions. This framework is used to …

Singular intersections on families of abelian varieties
Nicola Ottolini
https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.15344 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2506.1…

Singular intersections on families of abelian varieties
Let $S$ be a smooth irreducible curve defined over $\overline{\mathbb{Q}}$, let $\mathcal{A}$ be an abelian scheme over $S$ and $\mathcal{C}$ a curve inside $\mathcal{A}$, both defined over $\overline{\mathbb{Q}}$. In this paper we prove that the set of points in which $\mathcal{C}$ intersects proper flat subgroup schemes of $\mathcal{A}$ tangentially is finite. This fits in the framework of the so-called problems of unlikely intersections, and can be seen as a variation of the relative Pink co…

Krugman continues:
❝While there is a cadre of Trumpist true believers who will obey the Leader under any circumstances, most of those doing the dirty work of undermining democracy and the rule of law are cowards and opportunists. They’re willing to participate in the destruction of America as we know it because they believe that many others will do the same. As a result, they believe that they are unlikely to face any personal consequences for their actions and may even be rewarded for their lawbreaking.
And what of those who oppose Trumpism? While there are heroes willing to take a stand against tyranny whatever the personal cost, most anti-Trumpists are reluctant to stick their necks out unless they believe that they are part of a widespread resistance that will grant them some measure of safety in numbers.
In other words, the victory or defeat of competitive authoritarianism will depend to a large extent on which side ordinary people believe will win. If Trump looks unstoppable, resistance will wither away and democracy will be lost. On the other hand, if he appears weak and stymied, resistance will grow and — just maybe — American democracy will survive.❞
2/

«But that just brings us back to the original question: why build an AI division at all? Because Google needs to keep up the story that it is growing. […] For a company like Google, "maturity" is unlikely to be a steady state – rather, it's likely to be a prelude to collapse»
Good collapsology by @… !
https://pluralistic.net/2025/07/15/inhuman-gigapede/

New unlikely intersections on elliptic surfaces
Douglas Ulmer, Jos\'e Felipe Voloch
https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.06680 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2508.06680…

New unlikely intersections on elliptic surfaces
Consider a Jacobian elliptic surface $E \to C$ with a section $P$ of infinite order. Previous work of the first author and Urzúa over the complex numbers gives a bound on the number of tangencies between $P$ and a torsion section of $E$ (an ``unlikely intersection''), and more precisely, an exact formula for the weighted number of tangencies between $P$ and elements of the ``Betti foliation''. This work used analytic techniques that apparently do not generalize to positive characteristic. In t…

"Adolescence has sparked fears over teen slang – but #emoji don’t cause radicalisation" https://theconversation.com/adolescenc

Spent 5hrs cooking for #friends before leaving #Germany. Made #SouthIndian food they're unlikely to get in local #Indian restaurants: khaara baath, kesari baath, dose, chutney, potato-onion palya. 😋
Hadn't cooked that fare in 4 yrs but all came out well. More important, everyone had a good time. ☺️

Corey Lewandowski?!?
'Of all people!' Senator reveals unlikely ally who chased down feds in scuffle - Raw Story
https://www.rawstory.com/alex-padilla-2672366295/

Trump says it's 'highly unlikely' he will fire Fed Chair Powell after broaching idea with GOP reps (NBC News)
https://www.nbcnews.com/business/business-news/trump-likely-will-fire-fed-chair-powell-soon-white-house-official-says-rcna219117
http://www.memeorandum.com/250716/p180#a250716p180

Fantasy football buzz: Caleb Williams rising after strong showing https://www.espn.com/fantasy/football/story/_/id/40699880/fantasy-football-injuries-position-battles-nfl-news-analysis

Kremlin indicates Putin-Zelensky meeting unlikely before August amid ongoing Russia-Ukraine negotiations: https://benborges.xyz/2025/07/24/kremlin-indicates-putinzelensky-meeting-unlikely.html

Mass models of galaxy clusters from a non-parametric weak-lensing reconstruction
Tobias Mistele, Federico Lelli, Stacy McGaugh, James Schombert, Benoit Famaey
https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.13716

Mass models of galaxy clusters from a non-parametric weak-lensing reconstruction
We study the CLASH sample of galaxy clusters using a new deprojection method for weak gravitational lensing observations. This method is non-parametric, allowing us to infer mass profiles, or equivalently circular velocities, without having to assume a specific halo profile. While this method assumes spherical symmetry, we show that, on average, triaxiality is unlikely to significantly affect our results. We use this method to study the total mass profiles of the CLASH clusters, as well as the …

Bob Iger says Disney will "probably" stop disclosing subscriber numbers like Netflix has "at some point" and says it doesn't plan to spin off its cable channels (Alex Weprin/The Hollywood Reporter)
https://www.hollywoodrep…

Bob Iger Says Disney Unlikely to Follow Comcast and Warner Bros. Discovery In Exiting the TV Channel Business
The CEO also said that Disney+ will "probably" emulate Netflix and stop reporting subscriber numbers at some point, he noted during a CNBC appearance.

2025 NFL Preseason Buzz: Shedeur Sanders "unlikely to play" Against Eagles https://www.foxsports.com/stories/nfl/2025-nfl-offseason-buzz-and-updates

At the Alaska Summit, an Unlikely Local Dish Gets a Cameo (Julia O'Malley/New York Times)
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/16/dining/trump-putin-alaska-halibut.html
http://www.memeorandum.com/250817/p41#a250817p41

Sources: Perplexity talked with The Browser Co. and Brave about buying them, offering ~$1B for Brave; OpenAI also discussed an acquisition with The Browser Co. (The Information)
https://www.theinformation.com/articles/wild-chrome-bid-perplexity-hunting-bro…

Before Wild Chrome Bid, Perplexity Had Been Hunting for Browsers
Perplexity made headlines this week when the artificial intelligence startup said it had offered to buy Google’s Chrome, the world’s largest internet browser, for a price amounting to nearly double its valuation. While that acquisition seems unlikely to transpire, the company has been on the ...

Piefed looks interesting. I hope #voyager will work with #piefed soon
https://join.piefed.social/features/

Making rare events typical in $d$-dimensional chaotic maps
Yllari K. Gonz\'alez-Koda, Ricardo Guti\'errez, Carlos P\'erez-Espigares
https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.10663

Making rare events typical in $d$-dimensional chaotic maps
Due to the deterministic nature of chaotic systems, fluctuations in their trajectories arise solely from the choice of initial conditions. Some of these dynamical fluctuations may lead to extremely unlikely scenarios. Understanding the impact of such rare events and the trajectories that give rise to them is of significant interest across disciplines. Yet, identifying the initial conditions responsible for those events is a challenging task due to the inherent sensitivity to small perturbations…

Life Finds A Way: Emergence of Cooperative Structures in Adaptive Threshold Networks
Sean P. Maley, Carlos Gershenson, Stuart A. Kauffman
https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.13253 https:…

Life Finds A Way: Emergence of Cooperative Structures in Adaptive Threshold Networks
There has been a long debate on how new levels of organization have evolved. It might seem unlikely, as cooperation must prevail over competition. One well-studied example is the emergence of autocatalytic sets, which seem to be a prerequisite for the evolution of life. Using a simple model, we investigate how varying bias toward cooperation versus antagonism shapes network dynamics, revealing that higher-order organization emerges even amid pervasive antagonistic interactions. In general, we o…

"The places that need to worry are those that look vulnerable or unlikely to fight back. Greenland may fall into that category — which suggests that Denmark and the EU need to find ways of letting Trump know that there will be a price to pay if he makes a move on the island"
Trump always chickens out on foreign policy too - https://on.ft.com/458Z5FI v

As US regulators restrict Covid mRNA vaccines
and as independent vaccine advisers re-examine the shots, scientists fear that an unlikely target could be next: 👉cancer research.
Messenger RNA, or mRNA, vaccines have shown promise in treating and preventing cancers that have often been difficult to address -- such as pancreatic cancer, brain tumors and others.
🆘 But groundbreaking research could stall as federal and state officials target mRNA shots,
including ending fe…

Turning grapevine waste into clear, strong, biodegradable films for food packaging - a sustainable solution to plastic pollution. #climatechange #climatesolutions #climate

Scientists turn grapevine waste into clear, strong films that vanish in days
Amid growing concerns over plastic waste and microplastics, researchers are turning agricultural leftovers into biodegradable packaging. Using cellulose extracted from unlikely sources, including grapevine canes, they have created strong, transparent films that break down in just 17 days without leaving harmful residue.

It seems unlikely but just imagine if Chris Woakes gets the necessary 17 runs while batting with one arm in a sling ..
#cricket #EngInd #FifthTest

Apple Intelligence has labeled a photo I’ve taken of a neighbour’s calico tabby as “American Wirehair”. I’m not an expert, so who knows, but based on geotags it would seem unlikely.

“Many State Offices are concerned that Starlink proposals may be the lowest bid and alternative proposals may not be within the 15% window for consideration. What this analysis presents is that across many geographic areas Starlink may not be a qualified bidder as it may be unable to attain the required 100/20 Mbps service level (and, in deploying Starlink services, may actually degrade pre-existing users’ services to the point that they no longer receive minimal broadband speeds).”
#Enshitification #StarLink
https://communitynetworks.org/content/new-research-starlink-unlikely-meet-bead-speed-needs-scale

XMM-Newton follow-up of two eROSITA X-ray binary candidates
A. Avakyan, A. Zainab, V. Doroshenko, J. Wilms, A. Schwope, V. Suleimanov, D. Buckley, J. Brink, A. Santangelo
https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.08592

XMM-Newton follow-up of two eROSITA X-ray binary candidates
We report on the follow-up observations with XMM-Newton of two X-ray binary candidates identified in the first eROSITA all-sky survey data (eRASS1), 1eRASS J061330.8+160440 and 1eRASS J161201.9-464622. Based on the obtained results, in particular, the observed X-ray spectra and lack of pulsations, as well as properties of the identified optical counterparts, we conclude that both candidates are unlikely to be XRBs. Based on LAMOST optical spectroscopy and SED fit results for 1eRASS J061330.8+16…

Sources: Steelers unlikely to trade for TE Smith https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/45441995/steelers-unlikely-trade-te-smith-host-wr-davis

Unlikely intersections in Shimura varieties and beyond: a survey
Christopher Daw
https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.02900 https://arxiv.org/p…

Unlikely intersections in Shimura varieties and beyond: a survey
The aim of this note is to provide a concise introduction to so-called problems of unlikely intersections for (pure) Shimura varieties and to review the current state-of-the-art. In the process, we will touch upon more general settings and some of the results in those contexts.

Series D, Episode 01 - Rescue
AVON: Oh, it was. This was just someone's unsuccessful attempt to develop something similar.
TARRANT: Dorian's?
AVON: It seems unlikely. Did you run the calculations?
TARRANT: Yes. Xenon. Mean anything to you?
AVON: No.
https://blake.torpidity.net/m/401/248

Blakes7Bot | Search
Companion site to the Blakes7Bot Twitter, Mastodon, and Bluesky accounts. Automated lines of Blakes 7 dialog. Includes a script search facility.

Trump, 79, forgets who is with him on Pittsburgh trip as rambling talk includes unlikely Unabomber story (Andrew Feinberg/The Independent)
https://www.the-independent.com/news/world/americas/us-politics/donald-trump-ted-kaczynski-pittsburgh-b2789670.html
http://www.memeorandum.com/250716/p3#a250716p3

Some core #urbanism from an unlikely source … 7 News Australia
They've had a slight reputation for "announcing" policies that are not from the government but just from think tanks. But this news report is all good stuff (like the last time, when Parramatta Road was proposed for light rail)
This is completing a "ring road" or circle line of

On the Efficacy of Ocean Formation with a Primordial Hydrogen Atmosphere
Darius Modirrousta-Galian, Jun Korenaga
https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.10417 https://

On the Efficacy of Ocean Formation with a Primordial Hydrogen Atmosphere
It has been suggested that Earth's present water budget formed from oxidation reactions between its initial hydrogen-rich primordial atmosphere and its magma ocean. Here we examine this hypothesis by building a comprehensive atmosphere-magma ocean model. We find that water formation is unlikely for two reasons. First, any water formed from oxidation reactions in the magma ocean would quickly outgass because of the water-poor atmosphere above. Second, the top boundary layer of the magma ocean be…

Cowboys rookie is unlikely to achieve this franchise feat https://insidethestar.com/cowboys-rookie-is-unlikely-to-achieve-this-franchise-feat

I honestly don’t get how this is possible in 2025.
There’s no excuse for not having protected backups of everything critical. That was true 30 years ago, it is true today. Back then a bigger piece of the risk was hardware, less malware. Today it is unlikely for a disk failure to take your data because we all learned that RAID was worthwhile. But RAID is not a backup and backups today need to be resistant to intentional malicious deletion.

As I look at people around me, rarely I see anyone with such a strong symptoms of pollen #allergy as I have. I suppose it's unlikely that all people with allergies manage to keep to their basements, so I'm wondering: is it that my allergy is unusually strong (or resilient to medicine), or are others taking more medicine than I do.
Today I've taken a third pill already (3.5 times the base dosage in total), and once again I'm starting to have a runny nose. And that's after 2 hours since last pill, spent sitting in trains. If the allergy doesn't kill me, the medicine will…

Raiders Open Preseason in Seattle With An Unlikely Ending https://www.si.com/nfl/raiders/las-vegas-cam-miller_seattle-seahawks-geno-smith

On the calculation of p-values for quadratic statistics in Pulsar Timing Arrays
Rutger van Haasteren
https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.10811 https://

On the calculation of p-values for quadratic statistics in Pulsar Timing Arrays
Pulsar Timing Array (PTA) projects have reported various lines of evidence suggesting the presence of a stochastic gravitational wave (GW) background in their data. One key line of evidence involves a detection statistic sensitive to inter-pulsar correlations, such as those induced by GWs. A $p$-value is then calculated to assess how unlikely it is for the observed signal to arise under the null hypothesis $H_0$, purely by chance. However, PTAs cannot empirically draw samples from $H_0$. As a w…

So what's going on here?
1) An overall falling birth rate, below replacement level in a rich country like the UK, is a GOOD THING.
2) If poorer families are disproportionately unlikely to have children, that is a BAD THING.
3) #DemographicSlowdown does bring challenges but they can be addressed. Clue: expect lots of

"A retread of the defeated 2015-19 project is unlikely to be a recipe for future success.
"Even so, this is a very encouraging beginning. The march of authoritarianism and racism across this country, the disgusting consensus behind complicity in Israeli genocide and the attempt to keep public ownership and wealth redistribution off the table can all be challenged by the emergence of a left movement on this scale."

Replaced article(s) found for cs.DM. https://arxiv.org/list/cs.DM/new/
[1/1]:
Small maximal clusters are very unlikely in critical random graphs
htt…

This https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.12451 has been replaced.
initial toot: https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_mat…

Small maximal clusters are very unlikely in critical random graphs
We describe a probabilistic methodology, based on random walk estimates, to obtain exponential upper bounds for the probability of observing unusually small maximal components in two classical (near-)critical random graph models. More specifically, we analyse the near-critical Erdős-Rényi model $\mathbb{G}(n,p)$ and the random graph $\mathbb{G}(n,d,p)$ obtained by performing near-critical $p$-bond percolation on a simple random $d$-regular graph and show that, for each one of these models, th…

'Meet to discuss': Elon Musk gets unlikely allies in effort to build new party - Raw Story
https://www.rawstory.com/meet-cuban-musk-new-party/

More than half of industries are already shedding workers,
a ‘telling’ sign that’s accompanied past recessions, top economist says
https://fortune.com/2025/08/10/recession-warning-economic-outlook-industry-job-losses-employment-…

More than half of industries are already shedding workers, a ‘telling’ sign that’s accompanied past recessions, top economist says
"Things could still turn around if the economic policies weighing on the economy soon lift. But that looks increasingly unlikely."

2025 NFL Preseason Buzz: Commanders Activate WR Terry McLaurin Off PUP List https://www.foxsports.com/stories/nfl/2025-nfl-offseason-buzz-and-updates

Raiders Open Preseason in Seattle With An Unlikely Ending https://www.si.com/nfl/raiders/las-vegas-cam-miller_seattle-seahawks-geno-smith

Today I got what I think is my first Mastodon fake
There has been no "unusual activity" on my account and teamsupfttadt2 seems a very unlikely user name
I am going to report this

New: Podcast ep 192: What if we make mistakes on purpose? The unlikely freedom of doing things badly and letting yourself run out https://www.overcomecompulsivehoarding.co.uk/podcast-ep-192-make-mistakes-on-purpose

Jazzaria – Incalculable Gumbo
#byncnd

Replaced article(s) found for cs.LG. https://arxiv.org/list/cs.LG/new
[5/9]:
- Rewarding the Unlikely: Lifting GRPO Beyond Distribution Sharpening
Andre He, Daniel Fried, Sean Welleck

Experts say Samsung's $16.5B Tesla chip deal alone is unlikely to revive its foundry division, which has struggled since TSMC became Apple's principal supplier (Financial Times)

Logarithmically Divergent Vacuum Energy in Effective Field Theory
Jonathan Sullivan-Wood, Craig Pryor
https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.21320 https://arxiv.org/pd…

Logarithmically Divergent Vacuum Energy in Effective Field Theory
The vacuum energy density due to a single quantum field diverges quarticly with the ultraviolet cutoff $Λ$, in wild disagreement with the value implied by cosmological observations. We show that in effective field theories containing bosons and fermions the requirement of a Lorentz invariant vacuum makes any divergence faster than logarithmic exponentially unlikely. We show this by generating an ensemble of mass spectra by Monte Carlo, and find that the probability distribution function for th…

The initial evolution of SN 1993J: Piston phase versus standard model
C. -I. Bjornsson
https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.07137 https://arxiv…

The initial evolution of SN 1993J: Piston phase versus standard model
The evolution of SN 1993J is unlikely to be self-similar. Spatially resolved VLBI-observations show that the velocity of the outer rim of the radio emission region brakes at a few hundred days. The reason for this break remains largely unknown. It is argued here that it is due to the transition between an initial piston phase to a later phase, which is described by the standard model. The properties of the reverse shock are quite different for a piston phase as compared to the standard self-sim…

Emphasizing Deliberation and Critical Thinking in an AI Hype World
Katja Rogers
https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.14961 https://arxiv.org/pd…

Emphasizing Deliberation and Critical Thinking in an AI Hype World
AI solutionism is accelerated and substantiated by hype and HCI's elevation of novelty. Banning or abandoning technology is unlikely to work and probably not beneficial on the whole either -- but slow(er), deliberate use together with conscientious, critical engagement and non-engagement may help us navigate a post-AI hype world while contributing to a solid knowledge foundation and reducing harmful impacts in education and research.

20-truck monty.
It is unlikely to all be on any one truck or at all on most of them.
The IAEA is not going to be happy. https://defenseofliberty.social/@MalcolmNance/114738718224071490

Malcolm Nance (@MalcolmNance@defenseofliberty.social)
Attached: 1 image Wait so they saw all these trucks at the #Iranian plant and still #bombed it instead of following where the trucks went and now they don’t know where the #uranium is….is that the gist?

Jamie Dimon Says China Unlikely to Fold on Tariffs: 'They're Not Scared' - Business Insider
https://www.businessinsider.com/jamie-dimon-china-tariffs-trump-trade-war-2025-5

Reasoning about Rare-Event Reachability in Stochastic Vector Addition Systems via Affine Vector Spaces
Joshua Jeppson, Landon Taylor, Bingqing Hu, Zhen Zhang
https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.17711

Reasoning about Rare-Event Reachability in Stochastic Vector Addition Systems via Affine Vector Spaces
Rare events in Stochastic Vector Addition System (VAS) are of significant interest because, while extremely unlikely, they may represent undesirable behavior that can have adverse effects. Their low probabilities and potentially extremely large state spaces challenge existing probabilistic model checking and stochastic rare-event simulation techniques. In particular, in Chemical Reaction Networks (CRNs), a chemical kinetic language often represented as VAS, rare event effects may be pathologica…

Rupert Murdoch, the 94-year-old media baron whose fortunes have risen in tandem with Trump’s political ascent,
has turned into an unlikely foe.
Trump has bristled over a Wall Street Journal report that he allegedly sent a suggestive letter to sex offender Jeffrey Epstein for his 50th birthday in 2003.
Trump denied sending the message, calling it a “fake,”
and last month he filed a $10-billion defamation suit against Journal publisher Dow Jones & Co., Murdoch and …

Rupert Murdoch and Donald Trump: Inside their tangled relationship
Trump sued Rupert Murdoch and his News Corp. for $10 billion over the Wall Street Journal's report that Trump allegedly sent a sexually suggestive letter to Jeffrey Epstein for his 50th birthday decades ago.

D12 - Warlord
ZEEONA: I'm a biogenetic engineer, I work with this kind of equipment all the time. I thought I could help to put it together.
TARRANT: We're unlikely to be ready for that today, so why not let Soolin show you to your father's quarters?
https://blake.torpidity.net/m/412/63

Multicomponent Linear Transport in the Absence of Local Equilibrium
Yu-Jen Chiu, Eric M. Weiner, Ahmad K. Omar
https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.23906 https://

Multicomponent Linear Transport in the Absence of Local Equilibrium
The linear laws of transport phenomena are central in our description of irreversible processes in systems across the physical sciences. Linear irreversible thermodynamics allows for the identification of the underlying forces driving transport and the structure of the relevant transport coefficients for systems that are locally in equilibrium. Increasingly, linear relations are found to describe transport in systems in which a local equilibrium hypothesis is unlikely to hold. Here, we derive a…

These Kentucky Republicans attempt an unlikely bulwark to Trump (Paul Kane/Washington Post)
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2025/05/31/trump-mcconnell-rand-paul/
http://www.memeorandum.com/250531/p41#a250531p41

Prebiosignatures with the Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO)
Sukrit Ranjan, Danica Adams, Michael Wong, Martin Schlecker, Nicholas Wogan, Jessica M. Weber
https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.00165

Prebiosignatures with the Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO)
The Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO) aims to characterize habitable exoplanets in search of signs of life. However, detectable life may be rare, either because abiogenesis is intrinsically contingent and unlikely, or because biospheres may efficiently recycle their products. Here, we explore the potential of HWO to test theories of life in the universe even if detectable life is rare by searching for "prebiosignature gases". Prebiosignatures gases are gases whose detection constrains theories…

Which 10 Non-QBs Would Most Likely Command Two First-Round Picks In A Trade? https://www.foxsports.com/stories/nfl/which-non-qbs-would-most-likely-command-two-first-round-picks-trade

This https://arxiv.org/abs/2404.08048 has been replaced.
initial toot: https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_…

The origin of the coherent radio flash potentially associated with GRB 201006A
Rowlinson et al. 2023 recently claimed the detection of a coherent radio flash 76.6 minutes after a short gamma-ray burst. They proposed that the radio emission may be associated with a long-lived neutron star engine. We show through theoretical and observational arguments that the coherent radio emission, if real and indeed associated with GRB 201006A and at the estimated redshift, is unlikely to be due to the collapse of the neutron star, ruling out a blitzar-like mechanism. Instead, we show …

Time for Raiders to Catch Up to Their Star’s Championship Mindset https://heavy.com/sports/nfl/las-vegas-raiders/maxx-crosby-thunder-mindset/?adt_ei=[email]

Senate GOP unlikely to release revised megabill text Monday (Jordain Carney/Politico)
https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2025/06/23/congress/senate-gop-megabill-text-delay-00418386
http://www.memeorandum.com/250623/p51#a250623p51

Time-structured models of population growth in fluctuating environments
Pradeep Pillai, Tarik C. Gouhier
https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.23380 https://

Time-structured models of population growth in fluctuating environments
1. Although environmental variability is expected to play a more prominent role under climate change, current demographic models that ignore the differential environmental histories of cohorts across generations are unlikely to accurately predict population dynamics and growth. The use of these approaches, which we collectively refer to as non time-structured models or nTSMs, will instead yield error-prone estimates by giving rise to a form of ecological memory loss due to their inability to ac…

Ron Rivera believes Bill Belichick could field NFL interest if North Carolina has successful 2025 season

https://www.cbssports.com/college-foot…