This https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.23019 has been replaced.
initial toot: https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_csRO_…
What is Past is Prologue:
#Paleoclimate constraints on #ECS Equilibrium #ClimateSensitivity #GreenhouseGas sensitivity of Earth's #Climate
First of 3 papers this summer.
My career trajectory has been building towards using past climate archives to narrow the possibilities of future climate. But it is HARD. And computationally expensive.
The next two papers of this project will rule out some high and low sensitivity simulations using Past Climate (Proxy) archives and Data Assimilation. Those should be out in preprint in the next couple of months.
We hope this project (first to constrain earth climate sensitivity using coupled atmosphere-ocean earth system models) will be streamlined in the future and applied widely.
https://essopenarchive.org/users/921675/articles/1297441-on-the-sensitivity-of-climate-sensitivity-in-a-coupled-climate-model