Tootfinder

Joint space-time modelling for upper daily maximum and minimum temperature record-breaking
Jorge Castillo-Mateo (University of Zaragoza), Zeus Gracia-Tabuenca (University of Zaragoza), Jes\'us As\'in (University of Zaragoza), Ana C. Cebri\'an (University of Zaragoza), Alan E. Gelfand (Duke University)
https://arxiv.o…

Joint space-time modelling for upper daily maximum and minimum temperature record-breaking
Record-breaking temperature events are now frequently in the news, proffered as evidence of climate change, and often bring significant economic and human impacts. Our previous work undertook the first substantial spatial modelling investigation of temperature record-breaking across years for any given day within the year, employing a dataset consisting of over sixty years of daily maximum temperatures across peninsular Spain. That dataset also supplies daily minimum temperatures (which, in fac…

Modelling laminar flow in V-shaped filters integrated with catalyst technologies for atmospheric pollutant removal
Samuel D. Tomlinson, Aliki M. Tsopelakou, Tzia M. Onn, Steven R. H. Barrett, Adam M. Boies, Shaun D. Fitzgerald
https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.00603

Modelling laminar flow in V-shaped filters integrated with catalyst technologies for atmospheric pollutant removal
Atmospheric pollution from particulate matter, volatile organic compounds and greenhouse gases is a critical environmental and public health issue, leading to respiratory diseases and climate change. A potential mitigation strategy involves utilising ventilation systems, which process large volumes of indoor and outdoor air and remove particulate pollutants through filtration. However, the integration of catalytic technologies with filters in ventilation systems remains underexplored, despite t…

#NewPaper out: Anne Reichmuth , Kühn I, Schmidt A, Doktor D (2025) Forested Natura 2000 sites under climate change: effects of tree species distribution shifts. Web Ecology 25: 59–89.
We have modelled and analysed the effect of possible tree species distribution shift in Norway spruce (Picea abies), European beech (Fagus sylvatica), and two oak species (Quercus petraea and Quercus robur), considered jointly on forested Natura 2000 sites, an EU-wide conservation area network. The modelling procedure was performed using 3 to 4 bio-climatic variables derived from 26 variables of the EURO-CORDEX Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) climate simulations for the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) 2.6, 4.5, and 8.5 until 2098. Our results reveal a severe decline in Picea within Natura 2000 sites in central Europe and lower elevations and confirm a strong shift towards higher elevations and latitudes. This amounts to an 18 % absolute mean change (−18 % mean loss, 15 % mean gain). Quercus sp. reveal similar results, with 23 % absolute mean change (−23 % loss, 24 % gain) at Natura 2000 sites, whereas Fagus remains stable throughout the model results with 8 % absolute mean change (−7 % loss, 9 % gain). As ecosystems of any type are highly dynamic, climate change can lead to additional severe pressure on statically defined conservation goals and associated management activities.
#biodiversity #ecology #ClimateChange #conservation

Low-EFFourth: A computational framework for generating and studying multilevel model ensembles in low-dimensional systems
Francisco de Melo Vir\'issimo
https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.03313

Low-EFFourth: A computational framework for generating and studying multilevel model ensembles in low-dimensional systems
This paper introduces Low-EFFourth (LEF4), a MATLAB-based computational framework designed for generating and studying multilevel model ensembles in continuous dynamical systems. Initially developed to address questions in climate modelling, LEF4 can also be used in other disciplines such as epidemiology, economics, and engineering, with minimal modifications to the code. The framework provides an efficient and flexible approach for investigating uncertainties arising from initial conditions, m…