@joergi@chaos.social2025-06-15 08:46:09
@MolemanPeter@neuromatch.social2025-06-15 07:29:17
Waarschuwing uit Washington: Follow the Money speelt met vuur.
https://www.ftm.nl/nieuwsbrieven/waarschuwing-uit-washington-follow-the-money-speelt-met-vuur
@ErikJonker@mastodon.social2025-06-15 08:11:27
Steun platformen zoals @… , met meer leden staan ze sterker.
https://www.ftm.nl/artikelen/waarschuwing-uit-washington-follow…
@muz4now@mastodon.world2025-06-15 23:07:32
You get "Ritual & Mayhem"
- free -
(I get nothing but you listening to my music)
#NewRelease #ListenNow
@cdarwin@c.im2025-06-15 23:41:59
When Donald Trump last attended a Group of 7 meeting in Canada, he was in many ways the odd man out.
At that meeting, in 2018, Trump called for the alliance of Western countries to embrace Russia,
antagonized allies and
ultimately stormed out of the summit over a trade battle he began by imposing metals tariffs on Canada.
As he returns on Sunday for the Group of 7 meeting in Alberta, those fissures have only deepened.
Since retaking office, the president has sough…
@matzekult@chaos.social2025-06-14 11:00:17
"Auf der Bahnstrecke zwischen Sassnitz und Lietzow musste ein Zug am Donnerstag wegen zwei Radfahrern stoppen. Die 62-jährige Frau und der 58-jährige Mann waren im Bereich der Gleise unterwegs, hatten eines ihrer E-Bikes dort sogar abgestellt. Der heranfahrende Zug musste eine Gefahrenbremsung machen. Den beiden Radfahrern war offenbar nicht bewusst, dass ihr Handeln ein Problem darstellt. Nach dem Stopp haben sie dann den Triebfahrzeugführer nach dem Weg gefragt."
@kexpmusicbot@mastodonapp.uk2025-06-14 12:22:35
🇺🇦 #NowPlaying on KEXP's #VarietyMix
Neko Case:
🎵 I Wish I Was the Moon
#NekoCase
https://nekocaseofficial.bandcamp.com/track/i-wish-i-was-the-moon
https://open.spotify.com/track/4PxzGOH79jcmmldKgoI9sB
@tiotasram@kolektiva.social2025-05-15 17:02:17
The full formula for the probability of "success" is:
p = {
1/(2^(-n 1)) if n is negative, or
1 - (1/(2^(n 1))) if n is zero or positive
}
(Both branches have the same value when n is 0, so the behavior is smooth around the origin.)
How can we tweak this?
First, we can introduce fixed success and/or failure chances unaffected by level, with this formula only taking effect if those don't apply. For example, you could do 10% failure, 80% by formula, and 10% success to keep things from being too sure either way even when levels are very high or low. On the other hand, this flattening makes the benefit of extra advantage levels even less exciting.
Second, we could allow for gradations of success/failure, and treat the coin pools I used to explain that math like dice pools a bit. An in-between could require linearly more success flips to achieve the next higher grade of success at each grade. For example, simple success on a crit role might mean dealing 1.5x damage, but if you succeed on 2 of your flips, you get 9/4 damage, or on 4 flips 27/8, or on 7 flips 81/16. In this world, stacking crit levels might be a viable build, and just giving up on armor would be super dangerous. In the particular case I was using this for just now, I can't easily do gradations of success (that's the reason I turned to probabilities in the first place) but I think I'd favor this approach when feasible.
The main innovation here over simple dice pools is how to handle situations where the number of dice should be negative. I'm almost certain it's not a truly novel innovation though, and some RPG fan can point out which system already does this (please actually do this, I'm an RPG nerd too at heart).
I'll leave this with one more tweak we could do: what if the number 2 in the probability equation were 3, or 2/3? I think this has a similar effect to just scaling all the modifiers a bit, but the algebra escapes me in this moment and I'm a bit lazy. In any case, reducing the base of the probability exponent should let you get a few more gradations near 50%, which is probably a good thing, since the default goes from 25% straight to 50% and then to 75% with no integer stops in between.
@cdarwin@c.im2025-06-14 14:30:16
Indian Creek Village,
the “Billionaire Bunker” near Miami,
couldn’t get approval to discharge its waste into a neighboring town’s sewer lines.
So the village quietly persuaded state lawmakers to force the issue.
In a world where billionaires are increasingly exercising political clout,
the fight over sewage in Indian Creek suggests the degree to which their influence is extending not just to policy in the White House and Congress but to some of the most foundat…
@cdarwin@c.im2025-06-14 20:33:36
Henry Clay Frick was a union buster
In 1892, he hired hundreds of Pinkerton detectives
— a private army of thugs with guns
— to quell a strike against a Pennsylvania steel mill.
Ten men were killed, dozens injured, and the situation became so inflamed that the state militia was called in to break the workers’ resistance.
Frick, who made a fortune supplying the coal derivative known as coke
to Andrew Carnegie’s steel company, where Frick later served…
