Tootfinder

(2 statistics profs, arguing.)
Don't try to tell ME that homo and hetero are the only kinds of skedasticity out here!
RRRRRR. I got your skedastic package RIGHT HERE!
#Maths #Statistics #Programming

Today is #WorldStatisticsDay, and the 20th anniversary of the European Statistics Code of Practice (CoP). This is a code of conduct that ensures that official statistics in Europe are produced and made available independently, with high data quality and according to the same standards:

Much more so than in his first four years in office,
Trump has begun his second term with what amounts to an all-out assault on many of the institutions and policy paradigms that have long been seen by leaders of both major political parties as the foundations of American economic strength.
He has sought to undermine the independence of the Federal Reserve,
fired the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, an agency that collects key economic data,
and cut funding to …

I think this seems like a good idea.
Should the Bureau of Justice Statistics Report UCR Stats?
https://open.substack.com/pub/jasher/p/should-the-bureau-of-justice-statistics?utm_campaign=post-expanded-sh…

un_migrations: UN migration stock (2015)
A network of migration between countries, collected by the United Nations. A directed edge gives the flow of migration, and an edge property gives the number of migrants, for each given year and sex. Estimates are presented for 1990, 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010 and 2015 and are available for all countries and areas of the world. The estimates are based on official statistics on the foreign-born or the foreign population.
This network has 232 no…

Does #TelecomItalia Sparkle have an ongoing incident with elevated latency in the past couple days? I'm hearing of several TI (business) customers with issues connecting towards the North.
https://radar.cloudflare.…

Is #AI really just dumb statistics? "Olympiad-level physics problem-solving presents a significant challenge for both humans and artificial intelligence (AI), as it requires a sophisticated integration of precise calculation, abstract reasoning, and a fundamental grasp of physical principles," says the (abstract of the) paper https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.10515: "The Chinese Physics Olympiad (CPhO), renowned for its complexity and depth, serves as an ideal and rigorous testbed for these advanced capabilities. In this paper, we introduce LOCA-R (LOgical Chain Augmentation for Reasoning), an improved version of the LOCA framework adapted for complex reasoning, and apply it to the CPhO 2025 theory examination. LOCA-R achieves a near-perfect score of 313 out of 320 points, solidly surpassing the highest-scoring human competitor and significantly outperforming all baseline methods." Oops ...?

"SNAP benefits reduced the depth and severity of poverty experienced by recipient households, especially among children, who experience higher poverty rates than the population at large."
But the gop would rather have kids in poverty.
https://www.

House probe slams D.C. police chief for 'ecosystem of fear, retaliation, and toxicity' (Washington Post)
https://www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/2025/12/14/dc-police-chief-crime-statistics-house-investigation/
http://www.memeorandum.com/251214/p29#a251214p29

RE: #statistics on #Microsoft

un_migrations: UN migration stock (2015)
A network of migration between countries, collected by the United Nations. A directed edge gives the flow of migration, and an edge property gives the number of migrants, for each given year and sex. Estimates are presented for 1990, 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010 and 2015 and are available for all countries and areas of the world. The estimates are based on official statistics on the foreign-born or the foreign population.
This network has 232 no…

Updated NFL Power Rankings: New 1-32 poll, plus the most shocking statistics of the 2025 season https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/47189899/nfl-week-15-power-rankings-poll-32-teams-2025-most-shocking-statistics

Pleasant conditions out: sunny and windy, cool but not cold. So I ducked out of the office for an afternoon runabout on the greenway.
Followed it up with a walkabout while talking to my sister on the phone.
#Running

In the USA there's now bipartisan acceptance that "steaks cost almost 17% more than a year ago" ,[1] 60 % of shoppers buy less beef,[2] 37 % consider plant-based substitutes[3] but not clear how many would simply increase e.g. pulses or go fully #vegan. Prices of lentils are down[4] and production of pulses is expected to go up.[5]
[1]

R learning for applied statistics by Chenxin Li: #rstats

US BLS data: video and videogame subscriptions and rentals saw inflation of 19.5% in December; cable, satellite, and livestreaming rose 1.1%, same as music subs (Alex Weprin/The Hollywood Reporter)
https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/business

Often statistics are used as a drunken man uses lampposts -- for support
rather than illumination.

Jerry Jones delivers harsh assessment of Cowboys' struggling defense https://www.si.com/nfl/cowboys/onsi/news/jerry-jones-delivers-harsh-assessment-dallas-cowboys-struggling-defense

On a more positive note, my home now features a #vacuum robot running the open source #Valetudo cloud replacement. The guide on how to do that was surprisingly easy to follow. Some light soldering, a bit of flashing that's pretty similar to rooting an Android device, and it's done.
And becau…

#MySQL Repository Analysis Reveals Declining Development and Shrinking Contributor Base
https://www.infoq.com/news/2025/12/mysql-declining-development/

un_migrations: UN migration stock (2015)
A network of migration between countries, collected by the United Nations. A directed edge gives the flow of migration, and an edge property gives the number of migrants, for each given year and sex. Estimates are presented for 1990, 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010 and 2015 and are available for all countries and areas of the world. The estimates are based on official statistics on the foreign-born or the foreign population.
This network has 232 no…

"As of November 5th, it estimated that U.S.A.I.D.’s dismantling has already caused the deaths of six hundred thousand people, two-thirds of them children."
https://social.coop/@eloquence/115535529645390697

J6 Committee Chair: Murder of Nat'l Guard Is An 'Unfortunate Accident' (Ed Morrissey/HotAir)
https://hotair.com/ed-morrissey/2025/12/11/dem-statistics-lies-damned-lies-and-unfortunate-accidents-n3809772
http://www.memeorandum.com/251211/p114#a251211p114

Revised comment on the paper titled "The Origin of Quantum Mechanical Statistics: Insights from Research on Human Language
Miko{\l}aj Sienicki, Krzysztof Sienicki
https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.07881 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2512.07881 https://arxiv.org/html/2512.07881
arXiv:2512.07881v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: This short note comments on \citet{Aerts2024Origin}, which proposes that ranked word frequencies in texts should be read through the lens of Bose--Einstein (BE) statistics and even used to illuminate the origin of quantum statistics in physics. The core message here is modest: the paper offers an interesting analogy and an eye-catching fit, but several key steps mix physical claims with definitions and curve-fitting choices. We highlight three such points: (i) a normalization issue that is presented as "bosonic enhancement", (ii) an identification of rank with energy that makes the BE fit only weakly diagnostic of an underlying mechanism, and (iii) a baseline comparison that is too weak to support an ontological conclusion. We also briefly flag a few additional concerns (interpretation drift, parameter semantics, and reproducibility).
toXiv_bot_toot

Local news article: "What is a surgeon's advice" about how to avoid slip-and-fall injuries on ice in winter? At the end of three paragraphs about the kinds of injuries that happen, the fact that older adults are at increased risk, and that statistics on ice-related injuries aren't available, the entirety of the advice is… to walk on sidewalks that have been cleared and salted. Gosh, thanks, I wouldn't have thought of that on my own.

♻️ Making it easier to recycle your house
#buildings

When #teaching #Rstats / #statistics courses, I (and several colleagues of mine) made the experience that it is indeed pretty hard for a lot of students to cope with the file system on their computer. They have questions like: How do I know the "path" of a file? How do I control in which directory something is saved? WHY DO I NEED THIS?!?
I don't want to make fun of these students because I know that this could be because operating systems are increasingly obscuring file/directory systems from their users.
But if I want to teach students to use a scripting/ #programming language independently, that's a real problem!
So my questions to you are: Do you have the same impression when teaching? And if so: How do you deal with this from a teaching perspective? To be honest, I don't want to use precious course time to teach the absolute basics of computers' file systems in the first session(s).

Cold front arrives late tonight and the wind was certainly keen to hasten its arrival. Spitting rain at times, but happily any serious downpour never arrived.
Ran a quiet, pensive 7.5 km on the HS track. Heart ❤️ and lungs 🫁 felt great, but legs 🦵 were less willing. In all, the 4/1 run/walk intervals are helping. I look forward to being further along, but in the interim I can feel progress.
7.51 km in 59:30 for an average pace of 7:55/km.

Most of the math I know beyond "business calculus" is math I picked up in grad school (economics) or taught myself later. I'm constantly reminded there are gaps in my knowledge. For example, trigonometry doesn't come up much in economics or statistics. (1/n)
#math #learning

"An increasing number of homes in the Netherlands are heated without the use of natural gas. In 2024, 11.2 percent of homes were fully gas-free, up from 8.7 percent in 2022. These homes are usually heated using a heat pump or are connected to a collective district heating system."
https://www.cbs.…

For the time being, PreMiD Presence Stats is now broken due to the API not giving the user count stats for each presence.
While I'm not sure if anyone still uses it and I won't be back to PreMiD in the near future, I will try fixing it, or throw the towel if I can't.
For the note, PreMiD Presence Stats is a project of my Mini HTMLs to see various PreMiD stats. Check it out (maybe later after it is fixed) on

'Cloudy Weather': Hassett Says Some Economic Data Was Never Collected During Shutdown (Tyler Spence/NOTUS)
https://www.notus.org/economy/kevin-hassett-economic-data-shutdown-bls-bureau-labor-statistics-jobs-report-cost-of-living
http://www.memeorandum.com/251111/p90#a251111p90

10 Years of Let's Encrypt #Certificates
https://letsencrypt.org/2025/12/09/10-years
Mindblowing statistics of this extremely important project, delivering

un_migrations: UN migration stock (2015)
A network of migration between countries, collected by the United Nations. A directed edge gives the flow of migration, and an edge property gives the number of migrants, for each given year and sex. Estimates are presented for 1990, 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010 and 2015 and are available for all countries and areas of the world. The estimates are based on official statistics on the foreign-born or the foreign population.
This network has 232 no…

If there is any truth in these allegations, we really have to worry about that is going on in both AGS and GSOC.
The initial story was bad enough: the Irish police service being so incompetent that their statistics on homicides were wildly incorrect, and the whistleblower getting penalised; but this is batshit.

Crosslisted article(s) found for math.PR. https://arxiv.org/list/math.PR/new
[1/1]:
- Short-time statistics of extinction and blowup in reaction kinetics
Rotem Degany, Michael Assaf, Baruch Meerson

Zero to 100: Numbers behind Cowboys' 34-26 loss to Vikings https://www.dallascowboys.com/news/zero-to-100-numbers-behind-cowboys-34-26-loss-to-vikings

@…

Data Science is different things to different people so the list of things you need to know is hard to pin down.
It's often understood to go beyond data analysis.

In addition to Python programming and statistics you need to know at least:
- data manipulation tools including SQL, dataframes (polars, pandas)
- fund…

@…

Data Science is different things to different people so the list of things you need to know is hard to pin down.
It's often understood to go beyond data analysis.

In addition to Python programming and statistics you need to know at least:
- data manipulation tools including SQL, dataframes (polars, pandas)
- fund…

ICE's detainee population reaches 66,000, a new record high, statistics show (Camilo Montoya-Galvez/CBS News)
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/ices-detainee-population-reaches-66000-a-new-record-high-statistics-show/
http://www.memeorandum.com/251106/p136#a251106p136

Often statistics are used as a drunken man uses lampposts -- for support
rather than illumination.

By the Numbers: A look at Raiders' top performers from 2025 season https://www.raiders.com/news/by-the-numbers-a-look-at-raiders-top-performers-from-2025-season

This was a really cool session, started with palaeoproxies, ice sheet dynamics, detoured into extreme value statistics and isostatic rebound and ended with concrete and steel and community engagement.
Just like every grant ever says it will..
#NCKF25
#NCKF25 symposium and the plenary is all about the #SeaLevelRise.
This is the downstream part of our job as glaciologists and it's important to understand how the projections will, can and should be used...

It is December, so it is time to share my #Warframe2024 report from last year before the 2025 one arrives, and yes, I play on Linux and have since 2023, running Warframe on Debian Trixie.
#Debian #Warframe

Because I’ve see people saying you should be “respectful” to chatbots:
You can’t.
You’re not actually talking to someone and the chatbot doesn’t actually understand what you’re saying.
It’s parsing tokens and uses applied statistics to generate more tokens, that’s it.
If even it could understand you and form meaningful concepts and mental images— there’s no self there that could be disrespected.

hm. i wonder what this may cause

Do Not Put Your Site Behind Cloudflare if You Don't Need To
At the time of writing 12:43 UTC on Tue 18 Nov, Cloudflare has taken many sites down. I'm trying to browse the web, but about half of the sites show an error.
🤦 https://huijzer.xyz/posts/123/do-not-p

un_migrations: UN migration stock (2015)
A network of migration between countries, collected by the United Nations. A directed edge gives the flow of migration, and an edge property gives the number of migrants, for each given year and sex. Estimates are presented for 1990, 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010 and 2015 and are available for all countries and areas of the world. The estimates are based on official statistics on the foreign-born or the foreign population.
This network has 232 no…

Found in a default syslog-ng config:
stats(freq(1));
That will log daemon statistics every freakin' second every minute every hour every day every month every year forever. Nice way to exercise the disk I guess. ftw

#freshRss release notes:
"Scaling of user statistics in Web UI and CLI, to help instances with 1k users"
I feel a bit small with my installation for two users
https://github.com/FreshRSS/FreshRSS/r

The server is only a few months old and already has its first 4TB disk full.
#homelab

Zero to 100: Numbers behind Cowboys' 34-26 loss to Vikings https://www.dallascowboys.com/news/zero-to-100-numbers-behind-cowboys-34-26-loss-to-vikings

Have you ever wondered to what extend LLMs are used to support writing of scientific publications? Here is a chart indicating the fraction of LLM-modified sentences in scientific publications over time.
c.f. Liang et al, Mapping the Increasing Use of LLMs in Scientific Papers (2024)
https://arxiv.org/html/2404.01268v1

I love working with a team that knows our products and each others' strengths. At the Omni Group our average tenure is now over 15 years.
“OK, Ken, by ‘average’ I assume you mean ‘mean’? But some of you old-timers who have been there 30 years are skewing that curve, right?”
Well, I suppose that's true. If we look at the median tenure, that's now at 13.99 years.
(The 2024 report at the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics indicates the median tenure across all indust…

LISEP Ludwig Institute for Shared Economic Prosperity https://www.lisep.org/tru "Using data compiled by the federal government’s Bureau of Labor Statistics, the True Rate of Unemployment tracks the percentage of the U.S. labor force that does not have a full-time job (35 hours a week) but wants one, has no job…

un_migrations: UN migration stock (2015)
A network of migration between countries, collected by the United Nations. A directed edge gives the flow of migration, and an edge property gives the number of migrants, for each given year and sex. Estimates are presented for 1990, 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010 and 2015 and are available for all countries and areas of the world. The estimates are based on official statistics on the foreign-born or the foreign population.
This network has 232 no…

Modeling, Segmenting and Statistics of Transient Spindles via Two-Dimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Dynamics
C. Sun, D. Fettahoglu, D. Holcman
https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.10844 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2512.10844 https://arxiv.org/html/2512.10844
arXiv:2512.10844v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: We develop here a stochastic framework for modeling and segmenting transient spindle- like oscillatory bursts in electroencephalogram (EEG) signals. At the modeling level, individ- ual spindles are represented as path realizations of a two-dimensional Ornstein{Uhlenbeck (OU) process with a stable focus, providing a low-dimensional stochastic dynamical sys- tem whose trajectories reproduce key morphological features of spindles, including their characteristic rise{decay amplitude envelopes. On the signal processing side, we propose a segmentation procedure based on Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) combined with the detection of a central extremum, which isolates single spindle events and yields a collection of oscillatory atoms. This construction enables a systematic statistical analysis of spindle features: we derive empirical laws for the distributions of amplitudes, inter-spindle intervals, and rise/decay durations, and show that these exhibit exponential tails consistent with the underlying OU dynamics. We further extend the model to a pair of weakly coupled OU processes with distinct natural frequencies, generating a stochastic mixture of slow, fast, and mixed spindles in random temporal order. The resulting framework provides a data- driven framework for the analysis of transient oscillations in EEG and, more generally, in nonstationary time series.
toXiv_bot_toot

Donald Trump’s hateful, falsehood-filled rant on Thursday
blaming immigrants for crime, “social dysfunction” and economic hardship
is refuted by a wide range of immigration statistics,
which show clearly that immigrants dramatically bolster the US economy
and commit crimes at far lower rates than people born in the US.

By the Numbers: A look at Raiders' top performers from 2025 season https://www.raiders.com/news/by-the-numbers-a-look-at-raiders-top-performers-from-2025-season

Primer to get you started with Optimization and Mathematical Programming in R #rstats

Replaced article(s) found for physics.atom-ph. https://arxiv.org/list/physics.atom-ph/new
[1/1]:
- Imaging atomic scattering potential in centroidal diffraction of elastic electrons
R. Aiswarya, Jobin Jose, Nenad Simonovi\'c, Bratislav P. Marinkovi\'c, Himadri S. Chakraborty
https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.04466 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_physicsatomph_bot/114816830706448493
- Nonadiabatic corrections to electric quadrupole transition rates in H$_2$
Krzysztof Pachucki, Micha{\l} Si{\l}kowski
https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.02716 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_physicsatomph_bot/115496115851400980
- Demonstration of magic dressing of $^3$He
Raymond Tat
https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.02443 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_physicsatomph_bot/115654579955357210
- First observation and measurement of the ${}^{198}\text{Hg}$ bosonic transition in an optical lat...
Zyskind, Laupr\^etre, Shang, Pointard, Le Targat, Lodewyck, Bize
https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.04920 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_physicsatomph_bot/115666084295921110
- Two-Mode Bosonic State Tomography with Single-Shot Joint-Parity Measurement of a Trapped Ion
Honggi Jeon, Jiyong Kang, Wonhyeong Choi, Kyunghye Kim, Jaehun You, Taehyun Kim
https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.12628 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_quantph_bot/114698759566941964
- Phase-locked amplification enhanced by spin squeezing
Yan Zhang, Jing Zhang, Hou Ian
https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.02278 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_quantph_bot/114794342738854491
- Temperature-Dependent Evolution of Coherence, Entropy, and Photon Statistics in Photoluminescence
Tomer Bar Lev, Carmel Rotschild
https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.01953 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_physicsoptics_bot/114975598886927233
- Application of Quantum Annealing to Computation of Molecular Properties
Pradyot Pritam Sahoo, V. S. Prasannaa, B. P. Das
https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.12779 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_quantph_bot/115055154966701578
toXiv_bot_toot

un_migrations: UN migration stock (2015)
A network of migration between countries, collected by the United Nations. A directed edge gives the flow of migration, and an edge property gives the number of migrants, for each given year and sex. Estimates are presented for 1990, 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010 and 2015 and are available for all countries and areas of the world. The estimates are based on official statistics on the foreign-born or the foreign population.
This network has 232 no…

un_migrations: UN migration stock (2015)
A network of migration between countries, collected by the United Nations. A directed edge gives the flow of migration, and an edge property gives the number of migrants, for each given year and sex. Estimates are presented for 1990, 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010 and 2015 and are available for all countries and areas of the world. The estimates are based on official statistics on the foreign-born or the foreign population.
This network has 232 no…

The British Public Thinks Immigration Is Up. It's Actually Down, Sharply. (Michael D. Shear/New York Times)
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/11/27/world/europe/uk-immigration-statistics.html
http://www.memeorandum.com/251127/p33#a251127p33

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) said that it would not publish the October consumer price index (CPI)
– one of the country’s key reports for inflation data.
“BLS could not collect October 2025 reference period survey data due to a lapse in appropriations.
BLS is unable to retroactively collect these data,”
a statement on the agency’s website reads.
The report was set to be released in November,
and would serve as an important barometer for the Feder…

Allometric scaling of brain activity explained by avalanche criticality
Tiago S. A. N. Sim\~oes, Jos\'e S. Andrade Jr., Hans J. Herrmann, Stefano Zapperi, Lucilla de Arcangelis
https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.10834 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2512.10834 https://arxiv.org/html/2512.10834
arXiv:2512.10834v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Allometric scaling laws, such as Kleiber's law for metabolic rate, highlight how efficiency emerges with size across living systems. The brain, with its characteristic sublinear scaling of activity, has long posed a puzzle: why do larger brains operate with disproportionately lower firing rates? Here we show that this economy of scale is a universal outcome of avalanche dynamics. We derive analytical scaling laws directly from avalanche statistics, establishing that any system governed by critical avalanches must exhibit sublinear activity-size relations. This theoretical prediction is then verified in integrate-and-fire neuronal networks at criticality and in classical self-organized criticality models, demonstrating that the effect is not model-specific but generic. The predicted exponents align with experimental observations across mammal species, bridging dynamical criticality with the allometry of brain metabolism. Our results reveal avalanche criticality as a fundamental mechanism underlying Kleiber-like scaling in the brain.
toXiv_bot_toot

un_migrations: UN migration stock (2015)
A network of migration between countries, collected by the United Nations. A directed edge gives the flow of migration, and an edge property gives the number of migrants, for each given year and sex. Estimates are presented for 1990, 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010 and 2015 and are available for all countries and areas of the world. The estimates are based on official statistics on the foreign-born or the foreign population.
This network has 232 no…

"France adds 4.2 GW of solar in first nine months of 2025"
#France #SolarPower #Energy #Renewables

My friend Carlos knows better how to spend his time than on social media, so I can't tag him here, but he knows everything about statistics and Star Wars.
The thing is, my kids want to watch the clone wars series and I hate the idea because I think it's dull. But Carlos gave me a list of all episodes with "need to watch" rating (and in a better order!) so that we watch only the story arcs and skip all fillers. Now Clone Wars is tolerable for me!
1/2
https://pixelfed.de/p/CombSynPeople/889113283333962949

un_migrations: UN migration stock (2015)
A network of migration between countries, collected by the United Nations. A directed edge gives the flow of migration, and an edge property gives the number of migrants, for each given year and sex. Estimates are presented for 1990, 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010 and 2015 and are available for all countries and areas of the world. The estimates are based on official statistics on the foreign-born or the foreign population.
This network has 232 no…

Apparently this is my #TwitchRecap!
#Twitch #Streaming #Live

un_migrations: UN migration stock (2015)
A network of migration between countries, collected by the United Nations. A directed edge gives the flow of migration, and an edge property gives the number of migrants, for each given year and sex. Estimates are presented for 1990, 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010 and 2015 and are available for all countries and areas of the world. The estimates are based on official statistics on the foreign-born or the foreign population.
This network has 232 no…

un_migrations: UN migration stock (2015)
A network of migration between countries, collected by the United Nations. A directed edge gives the flow of migration, and an edge property gives the number of migrants, for each given year and sex. Estimates are presented for 1990, 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010 and 2015 and are available for all countries and areas of the world. The estimates are based on official statistics on the foreign-born or the foreign population.
This network has 232 no…

un_migrations: UN migration stock (2015)
A network of migration between countries, collected by the United Nations. A directed edge gives the flow of migration, and an edge property gives the number of migrants, for each given year and sex. Estimates are presented for 1990, 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010 and 2015 and are available for all countries and areas of the world. The estimates are based on official statistics on the foreign-born or the foreign population.
This network has 232 no…