Tootfinder

Trump wants Venezuela's oil — markets may not care: https://benborges.xyz/2026/01/12/trump-wants-venezuelas-oil-markets.html

NFL 'troubled' by sports prediction markets https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/47288011/nfl-troubled-rise-sports-prediction-markets

Morgan Stanley survey of audio habits in the US: 50% to 60% of listeners aged 18 to 44 reported listening to AI-generated music for 2.5 to 3 hours per week (Luke Kawa/Sherwood News)
https://sherwood.news/markets/morgan-stanley-most-…

Morgan Stanley: Most Gen Zers and millennials in the US listen to about three hours of AI music a week
That’s enough AI music to last the run time of “Avatar.”

‘Architects of AI’ Wins Time Person of the Year, Sends Gambling Markets Into a Meltdown https://www.404media.co/architects-of-ai-wins-time-person-of-the-year-sends-gambling-markets-into-a-meltdown/

Studie: DMA bringt Nutzern keine günstigeren App-Preise
Die Vorschriften des Digital Markets Act (DMA) sollten für mehr Wettbewerb in App Stores sorgen, doch eine neue Studie zeigt: Nutzer sehen kaum Preissenkungen.

Morgan Stanley survey of audio habits in the US: 50% to 60% of listeners aged 18-44 reported listening to AI-generated music for 2.5 to 3 hours per week (Luke Kawa/Sherwood News)
https://sherwood.news/markets/morgan-stanley-most-gen…

Morgan Stanley: Most Gen Zers and millennials in the US listen to about three hours of AI music a week
That’s enough AI music to last the run time of “Avatar.”

The U.S. stock market lags behind dozens of countries, even in a year of record highs (Steve Kopack/NBC News)
https://www.nbcnews.com/business/markets/sp500-stocks-lags-dozens-countries-rcna243088
http://www.memeorandum.com/251111/p108#a251111p108

Noch einige der zuletzt hier besonders häufig geteilten #News:
Analyse: Verbraucher haben mit dem Digital Markets Act größere Auswahl

eu_procurements_alt: EU national procurement networks (2008-2016)
These 234 networks represent the annual national public procurement markets of 26 European countries from 2008-2016, inclusive. Data is sourced from Tenders Electronic Daily (TED), the official procurement portal of the European Union.
This network has 10215 nodes and 11837 edges.
Tags: Economic, Commerce, Weighted, Temporal

Welp I guess the markets don't give a shit.

Powell under attack by Trump, stand his ground, Trump wants to break down all checks & balances on his regime. The reaction of the markets on Monday will be interesting I guess...
https://youtu.be/KckGHaBLSn4?si=sA9CXzs3bzYsMO20

Ex-Fed chairs condemn Trump’s bid to weaken central bank’s independence
Statement signed by 13 former senior officials condemns ‘unprecedented’ assault on Fed’s independence

Trump’s attempts to influence Fed risk ‘70’s-style inflation and global backlash’

Nils Pratley: US bond markets should be in revolt. Fed independence matters

AMS-IX ceasing US operations March 6.
https://www.ams-ix.net/ams/news/us-operations-to-cease-as-ams-ix-refines-strategy-shifting-focus-to-emerging-markets

US operations to cease as AMS-IX refines strategy, shifting focus to emerging markets | AMS-IX Amsterdam
Following a strategic review, we’re shifting focus to regions where our presence can drive greater impact and strengthen global connectivity.

"How the 15-Minute Sustainable City Model Cuts Carbon by 98% While Growing Local Food"
#Sustainability
https://happyeconews.com/15-minute-sustainable-city/

How the 15-Minute Sustainable City Model Cuts Carbon by 98% While Growing Local Food | Happy Eco News
A 15-minute sustainable city framework by Concordia University researchers shows neighborhoods can become self-sufficient in vegetables while cutting emissions by 98 percent. The model combines rooftop gardens, solar-powered electric delivery, and local markets. Testing in Ontario proved the system pays for itself in 2.8 years while strengthening community bonds and building food security.RetryClaude can make mistakes. Please double-check responses.

WIRED, 2004: The long tail https://www.wired.com/2004/10/tail/ Will The vOICe vision BCI cover more of the long tail of blindness cases than brain implants, retinal implants and optogenetics combined? Think of developing countries, types of blindness, device lifetime, etc. Economy of abundance vs Pareto…

The Long Tail
Forget squeezing millions from a few megahits at the top of the charts. The future of entertainment is in the millions of niche markets at the shallow end of the bitstream.

"This project started as a search problem and ended as something more. The most important result isn’t which neighbourhood tops the rankings - it’s the realisation that platforms now quietly structure survival in everyday urban markets. London’s restaurant scene is no longer organised by taste alone. It is organised by visibility that compounds, rent that rises when discovery arrives, and algorithms that allocate attention long before consumers ever show up. What looks like “choice” is increasingly the downstream effect of ranking systems."
How Google Maps quietly allocates survival across London’s restaurants - and how I built a dashboard to see through it
https://laurenleek.substack.com/p/how-google-maps-quietly-allocates

World Liberty Financial launches World Liberty Markets, letting users lend and borrow digital assets among one another, supporting its own token USD1 and others (Olga Kharif/Bloomberg)
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/20

Analyse: Verbraucher haben mit dem Digital Markets Act größere Auswahl
Zu den ersten Vorteilen, die die neuen EU-Wettbewerbsregeln bieten, gehören laut Verbraucherschützern vor allem mehr Optionen rund um Apps bei Apple und Google.

Shipping giant Maersk is turning to ethanol as a green fuel alternative, aiming to reduce its dependence on China for sustainable maritime solutions.
As the industry races to decarbonize, diversifying fuel sources has become critical for supply chain resilience. This shift could reshape global green fuel markets.
https://www.

I was thinking this morning, there should be more things like Goodwill, more thrift stores like that everywhere, for even LESS things going to landfills. Just people getting together, even as a trade or barter system, things like flea markets or garage sales-- people do some of this already.
Reusing things is so important, and repair, when possible-- I've been seeing some cool self-repair fix-it meetups on here, too.
As I was talking to my wife about it, and I remembered thi…

Companies are updating insider trading policies to cover prediction markets; Kalshi and others are pushing for federal oversight, including of insider trading (Rocket Drew/The Information)
https://www.theinformation.com/articles/polymark…

Polymarket Bets on OpenAI, Google Raise Insider Trading Suspicions
Over the past week, a handful of accounts on Polymarket, the predictions site, bet OpenAI would release a new large language model by December 13. On Thursday December 11, OpenAI released GPT-5.2, and four of these accounts together made over $13,000, according to the trades displayed on their ...

Amazon now offers same-day perishable grocery delivery in 2,300 US markets and has expanded the service's grocery offerings by 30% since its August launch (Peyton Bigora/Grocery Dive)
https://www.grocerydive.com/news/amazon-sam…

Amazon reaches milestone in same-day perishables delivery rollout
The company has expanded the service to 2,300 markets and said customers who buy perishables through the offering shop twice as often as those who don’t.

On the scale of AI investment, this line astonished me:
"Amazon’s capex alone is greater than that of the entire US energy sector."
https://global.morningstar.com/en-gb/markets/ai-arms-race-h…

Tesla CEO Elon Musk bats for H-1B visas, says tariffs distort markets
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/02/tesla-ceo-elon-musk-bats-for-h-1b-visa-says-tariffs-distort-markets-.html

Betting exchange Matchbook plans to launch a prediction market platform in the UK in January 2026 as a "road test" before a planned US launch as early as March (Justina Lee/Bloomberg)
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/20

Matchbook to Launch UK Prediction Markets Ahead of US Entry
Matchbook, a sports betting exchange, is launching a prediction market platform in the UK as it prepares to compete with rivals Kalshi and Polymarket in the US.

👿 How a ‘green gold rush’ in the Amazon led to dubious carbon deals on Indigenous lands
https://news.mongabay.com/2025/11/how-a-green-gold-rush-in-the-amazon-led-to-dubious-carbon-deals-on-indigenous-lands/

How a ‘green gold rush’ in the Amazon led to dubious carbon deals on Indigenous lands
BARCELONA — In December 2022, one of Brazil’s largest Indigenous territories and one of the smallest would each sign a 118-page, 10-year contract they would soon come to regret —as would faraway investors looking to capitalize on the billion-dollar carbon and biodiversity markets. In Brazil’s lush westernmost states of Amazonas and Acre, which border Peru, […]

Pluralistic: Predistribution vs redistribution (Big Tech edition) (10 Jan 2026) (Cory Doctorow/Pluralistic)
https://pluralistic.net/2026/01/10/markets-are-regulations/
http://www.memeorandum.com/260110/p55#a260110p55

i feel like my general feelings re: Rigol and people swearing by their Tek are best summarized with the old "rifle is fine" copypasta. as in: if you are skilled in the art you will get things done just as well with the rigol as you will with a tek in the same cateogry that's 10 times* the price. and if you aren't, goddess bless you either way also
* referring me to US secondary markets is classist and i will not be elaborating on this observation

Symbiosis emergence and abandonment in nature: a coordination game approach
Simon A. Levin, Ted Loch-Temzelides
https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.08833 https://ar…

Symbiosis emergence and abandonment in nature: a coordination game approach
We employ an n-player coordination game to model mutualism emergence and abandonment. We illustrate our findings in the context of the host--host interactions among plants in plant-mycorrhizal fungi (MF) mutualisms. The coordination game payoff structure captures the insight that mutualistic strategies lead to robust advantages only after such "biological markets" reach a certain scale. The game gives rise to three types of Nash equilibria, which correspond to the states derived in studies of t…

UK sugar tax to be extended to more soft drinks and milkshakes https://www.theguardian.com/business/live/2025/nov/25/sterling-volatility-the-budget-rachel-reeves-german-economy-stagnating-…

D-Wave Quantum agrees to acquire Quantum Circuits, a developer of error-corrected gate-model technology, for $550M, with $300M in stock and the rest in cash (Luke Kawa/Sherwood News)
https://sherwood.news/markets/d-wave-quantum-agrees-to…

D-Wave Quantum agrees to acquire Quantum Circuits for $550 million to boost gate-model development
D-Wave’s crashing the gate.

Global smartphone shipments rose 2% YoY in 2025, with Apple capturing the top position at a 20% share and 10% YoY growth, ahead of Samsung's 19% market share (Counterpoint Research)
https://counterpointresearch.com/en/insights/global-sm…

The European Union, overcoming deep dissension among its members,
gave the green light to a sweeping trade pact with four South American countries on Friday
that would create one of the largest free-trade zones in the world,
connecting markets with more than 700 million people.
The agreement offers a stark contrast to the amped-up aggression on display this week from the Trump administration.
As Europe worked to extend an era of economic collaboration,
th…

E.U. and South America to Form Free-Trade Zone With 700 Million People
The agreement represents a push for deeper global cooperation, in contrast to the United States’ turning to coercion in its dealings with other countries.

“Legal Corner: Apple’s “notarisation” – blocking software freedom of developers and users!” — via FSFE
https://fsfe.org/news/2025/news-20251105-01.en.html

"Nowhere to move: How climate change became the property market’s biggest nightmare"
#Climate #ClimateChange

How climate change has become the property market’s biggest threat
From plummeting house prices to insurable homes, climate change is impacting the property market around the world.

Spotify rolls out music videos to Premium subscribers in the US and Canada, following a beta launch in nearly 100 markets last year (Jaspreet Singh/Reuters)
https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/spot…

Zero Carbon V2X Tariffs for Non-Domestic Customers
Elisheva S Shamash, Zhong Fan
https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.07308 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2512.07308 https://arxiv.org/html/2512.07308
arXiv:2512.07308v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: With the aim of meeting the worlds net-zero objectives, electricity trading through contractual agreements is becoming increasingly relevant in global and local energy markets. We develop contracts enabling efficient energy trading using Vehicle to Everything technology which can be applied to regulate energy markets and reduce costs and carbon emissions by using electric vehicles with bidirectional batteries to store energy during offpeak hours for export during peak hours. We introduce a contract based on the VCG mechanism which enables fleets of electric vehicles to export electricity to the grid efficiently throughout the day, where each electric vehicle has its energy consumption and exporting schedules and costs.
toXiv_bot_toot

The Kia EV9 and the Hyundai IONIQ 9 are the two (enormous) cars that will be the first in the group to be used with a #V2G service. This will be launched in the Netherlands before being expanded to other markets and models (hopefully including more friendly ones).

Hyundai Motor Group Expands EV Energy Services with Vehicle to Grid and Vehicle to Home
Hyundai Motor and Kia expand Vehicle-to-Everything (V2X) services, enabling electric vehicles (EVs) to store, supply and share electricity with grids and homes

Prediction markets are just another way for time travellers to fund their operations.

DSA und DMA: EU-Digitalgesetze sollen stärker durchgesetzt werden
Die EU-Kommission will die Digitalgesetzgebung rund um Digital Services Act und Digital Markets Act in 2026 entschiedener durchsetzen.
http…

From my Twitter archive. It took one year longer ;)
https://bbc.com/news/articles/cj9rjwpvmpzo

Amazon launches Amazon Bazaar, a standalone low-cost shopping app in 12 markets in Asia, Africa, and Latin America, with most products priced under $10 (Sarah Perez/TechCrunch)
https://techcrunch.com/2025/11/07/amaz

Amazon launches a low-price standalone shopping app, Amazon Bazaar, in over a dozen markets | TechCrunch
On Friday, Amazon announced the debut of Amazon Bazaar, a new low-cost shopping destination for Asia, Africa, and Latin America that will be

Chinese businesses are transforming Mexico City’s poshest neighborhood
A growing Chinese techie community in Nuevo Polanco is fueling a boom in restaurants and markets to serve them.
#mexicocity #cdmx

Top U.S. Multifamily Rent Growth Markets — Q3 2025
"As has been the case throughout this cycle, the top rent growth markets over the past 12 months represented several regions, all with varying strengths and characteristics."

Facts: “The report shouldn’t be a shock to anyone...because zoning is just one factor of 100. I’m afraid ‘We’re going to sue the government until the capital markets do what we want’ is basically the textbook definition of San Francisco YIMBYism.” - @…

The thing nearly all media commentators have missed (because nobody knows nothin’ about energy in media) is that Venezuela has a lot of oil alright, but it’s heavy sour, hard to produce, hard to refine, and hard to transport, requiring:
• Conventional drilling artificial lift
• Diluent blending (to move viscous heavy crude)
• Upgraders and partial refining for export markets
• Enhanced recovery techniques where feasible
• Specialized infrastructure to handle sour…

Sharing the benefits of grid-scale batteries and solar/wind by trading in western US. The current 15 minute market in California Now going to day ahead market.
(I think made possible with recent massive grid-scale batteries allows evening out of renewables)
California now runs 5pm-8pm electricity use on batteries. Turn off more plants cuz can plan for a full day.
Thoughtful article on wholesale electricity grid coordination markets. Sounds dry, but cool:

I’m pretty sure the tech broligarchs supported Trump because they thought he would make it easier for them to become even richer. I wonder how the discussions between them are as they see Trumps illegal and insane international «incursions» are going to cost them markets and profits as the rest of the world turns away from US-based products and services…

🚨 A newly created #Polymarket account turned $30K into $400K by betting on Maduro’s ouster
just hours before the U.S. raid
— sparking fresh insider-trading suspicions.
This underscores exactly why we flagged #prediction #markets

The Lever (@levernews.com)
🚨 A newly created Polymarket account turned $30K into $400K+ betting on Maduro’s ouster just hours before the U.S. raid — sparking fresh insider-trading suspicions. This underscores exactly why we flagged prediction markets as a regulatory risk in our earlier coverage.

Panel talking about dark markets on nostr.
Nostr can be quite anonymous and encrypted and connected to payment via bitcoin. Can it therefore do Silk Road? Allow anonymous markets?
Nobody wants to publicly advocate for selling illegal drugs, but yeah, sure, people could do that. There's even protocol types for market places.
Relay owners might get into legal issues if they are forwarding illegal market listings. But this is true in general, there are also illegal images and even illegal text.
Nostr relays and Devs might find themselves in legal trouble anyway, due to the general legal crackdowns on internet requiring age proof and id on websites obstensively to protect kids. These are freedoms we all need to fight for. Perhaps brains will drain to more free jurisdictions? Devs move to where open development is legal? Not the panel at least. They want to say at home.
#nostr #nostrshire #darkMarkets

Digital Markets Act: EU-Wettbewerbskommissarin wirft USA „Erpressung“ vor
Teresa Ribera, Vizepräsidentin der EU-Kommission, greift die Trump-Regierung scharf an. Diese setze die EU massiv unter Druck, ihre Tech-Regeln abzuschwächen.

Correlation of Rankings in Matching Markets
R\'emi Castera, Patrick Loiseau, Bary S. R. Pradelski
https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.05304 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2512.05304 https://arxiv.org/html/2512.05304
arXiv:2512.05304v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: We study the role of correlation in matching markets, where multiple decision-makers simultaneously face selection problems from the same pool of candidates. We propose a model in which a candidate's priority scores across different decision-makers exhibit varying levels of correlation dependent on the candidate's sociodemographic group. Such differential correlation can arise in school choice due to the varying prevalence of selection criteria, in college admissions due to test-optional policies, or due to algorithmic monoculture, that is, when decision-makers rely on the same algorithms and data sets to evaluate candidates. We show that higher correlation for one of the groups generally improves the outcome for all groups, leading to higher efficiency. However, students from a given group are more likely to remain unmatched as their own correlation level increases. This implies that it is advantageous to belong to a low-correlation group. Finally, we extend the tie-breaking literature to multiple priority classes and intermediate levels of correlation. Overall, our results point to differential correlation as a previously overlooked systemic source of group inequalities in school, university, and job admissions.
toXiv_bot_toot

FAA cuts airline traffic in 40 markets over shutdown as Americans already face uncertainty over holiday travel plans | The Independent
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/air-traffic-cuts-government-shutdown-b2859497.html

The US CFTC grants crypto exchange Gemini a DCM license, allowing it to launch its prediction markets platform Gemini Titan (Daniel Kuhn/The Block)
https://www.theblock.co/post/382142/gemini-cftc-approval-prediction-market-crypto-future…

Someone made a huge profit predicting Maduro's capture. Here's what happened (Herb Scribner/Axios)
https://www.axios.com/2026/01/03/maduro-capture-bets-trade-prediction-markets
http://www.memeorandum.com/260103/p64#a260103p64

The US CFTC launches a pilot program allowing BTC, ETH, and USDC to be used as collateral in US derivatives markets (CoinDesk)
https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2025/12/08/cftc-launches-digital-assets-pilot-allowing-bitcoi…

BTC, ETH, USDC as Collateral in CFTC Crypto Pilot
Acting Chair Caroline Pham has unveiled a first-of-its-kind U.S. program to permit tokenized collateral in derivatives markets, citing "clear guardrails" for firms.

I made a nice sum of money on the prediction markets betting on the winner of this year's FIFA Peace Prize.

😲 Norwegian Officials Probe Major Polymarket Bets on Nobel Peace Winner
https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/10/11/norwegian-officials-probe-major-polymarket-bets-on-nobel-peace-winner

Norwegian Officials Probe Major Polymarket Bets on Nobel Peace Winner
A trader with a new account and no prior betting history placed a $70,000 bet on Venezuelan opposition leader Maria Corina Machado winning the prize.

eu_procurements_alt: EU national procurement networks (2008-2016)
These 234 networks represent the annual national public procurement markets of 26 European countries from 2008-2016, inclusive. Data is sourced from Tenders Electronic Daily (TED), the official procurement portal of the European Union.
This network has 4499 nodes and 4891 edges.
Tags: Economic, Commerce, Weighted, Temporal

A new Polymarket account bet $30K on Maduro's capture just hours before Trump's announcement, renewing questions on insider information in prediction markets (Herb Scribner/Axios)
https://www.axios.com/2026/01/03/maduro-capture-bets-trade-prediction-mark…

Someone made a huge profit predicting Maduro's capture. Here's what happened
The winnings come as the rules governing prediction markets are still evolving.

Kalshi and Polymarket have partnered with social media accounts purporting to be breaking news reporters, some of which have repeatedly posted false information (Jordy Fee-Platt/The Athletic)
https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6876922/2

Kalshi, Polymarket are partnering with X accounts claiming to be sports insiders
As Polymarket and Kalshi continue to grow in popularity, they have worked with social media accounts claiming to be breaking news reporters.

"Basis Markets": Britische Behörde untersucht Zusammenbruch eines Kryptofonds
Zwei Männer wurden festgenommen, während die britische Betrugsbehörde wegen Betrugs und Geldwäsche gegen ein millionenschweres Kryptowährungsschema ermittelt.

AppLovin reports Q3 revenue up 68% YoY to $1.41B, vs. $1.34B est., and forecasts Q4 revenue and adjusted EBITDA above estimates; APP jumps 6% after hours (Luke Kawa/Sherwood News)
https://sherwood.news/markets/applovin-q3-2025-earnings-adtech-sec-investi…

AppLovin modestly exceeds sales and earnings expectations in Q3
The adtech company just reported its fiscal Q3 results.

"While not all consumers may wish to adapt their consumption behaviour, all consumers need to be provided access to the tools to enable their participation. Regulatory frameworks must drive, and not hinder, the delivery of such flexibility resources."
https:…

Trump Media to Enter Booming Prediction Markets Business (Bloomberg)
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-28/trump-media-plans-to-enter-booming-prediction-markets-business
http://www.memeorandum.com/251028/p36#a251028p36

US energy companies and several hedge funds were handsomely rewarded when markets opened on Monday after news of the US attack on Venezuela and abduction of President Nicolas Maduro over the weekend. 
The MSCI US Energy index,
which tracks a basket of American stocks with exposure to the energy industry,
was trading up 2.8 percent on Monday, widely outperforming gains in the broader S&P 500 and other global energy stocks.
The rally was an early reflection of inves…

Halliburton, hedge funds and Chevron: Big winners from Trump's vow to 'rule' Venezuela
US energy stocks rally after abduction of Nicolas Maduro while analysts warn Opec countries could face 'serious' pressure

iPhone-Regulierung: Warum Apple mit Japan besser klarkommt als mit Europa
In Japan tritt am 18. Dezember ein Gesetz in Kraft, das dem Digital Markets Act (DMA) in Europa stark ähnelt. Trotzdem ist Apple entspannt. Woran liegt das?

Beyond Revenue and Welfare: Counterfactual Analysis of Spectrum Auctions with Application to Canada's 3800MHz Allocation
Sara Jalili Shani, Kris Joseph, Michael B. McNally, James R. Wright
https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.08106 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2512.08106 https://arxiv.org/html/2512.08106
arXiv:2512.08106v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Spectrum auctions are the primary mechanism through which governments allocate scarce radio frequencies, with outcomes that shape competition, coverage, and innovation in telecommunications markets. While traditional models of spectrum auctions often rely on strong equilibrium assumptions, we take a more parsimonious approach by modeling bidders as myopic and straightforward: in each round, firms simply demand the bundle that maximizes their utility given current prices. Despite its simplicity, this model proves effective in predicting the outcomes of Canada's 2023 auction of 3800 MHz spectrum licenses. Using detailed round-by-round bidding data, we estimate bidders' valuations through a linear programming framework and validate that our model reproduces key features of the observed allocation and price evolution. We then use these estimated valuations to simulate a counterfactual auction under an alternative mechanism that incentivizes deployment in rural and remote regions, aligning with one of the key objectives set out in the Canadian Telecommunications Act. The results show that the proposed mechanism substantially improves population coverage in underserved areas. These findings demonstrate that a behavioral model with minimal assumptions is sufficient to generate reliable counterfactual predictions, making it a practical tool for policymakers to evaluate how alternative auction designs may influence future outcomes. In particular, our study demonstrates a method for counterfactual mechanism design, providing a framework to evaluate how alternative auction rules could advance policy goals such as equitable deployment across Canada.
toXiv_bot_toot

Spotify rolls out music videos to Premium subscribers in the US and Canada, following a beta launch in nearly 100 markets last year (Jaspreet Singh/Reuters)
https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/spot…

US energy companies and several hedge funds were handsomely rewarded when markets opened on Monday
after news of the US attack on Venezuela and abduction of President Nicolas Maduro over the weekend. 
The MSCI US Energy index, which tracks a basket of American stocks with exposure to the energy industry,
was trading up 2.8 percent on Monday
-- widely outperforming gains in the broader S&P 500 and other global energy stocks.
The rally was an early reflection …

Halliburton, hedge funds and Chevron: Big winners from Trump's vow to 'rule' Venezuela
US energy stocks rally after abduction of Nicolas Maduro while analysts warn Opec countries could face 'serious' pressure

eu_procurements_alt: EU national procurement networks (2008-2016)
These 234 networks represent the annual national public procurement markets of 26 European countries from 2008-2016, inclusive. Data is sourced from Tenders Electronic Daily (TED), the official procurement portal of the European Union.
This network has 48702 nodes and 77142 edges.
Tags: Economic, Commerce, Weighted, Temporal

Amazon expands its low-cost Haul service to 25 countries and regions globally, rebrands it as Amazon Bazaar in some markets, and plans a two-day sales event (Todd Bishop/GeekWire)
https://www.geekwire.com/2025/amazon-expan

FAA reducing air traffic by 10% across 40 'high-volume' markets during government shutdown (Associated Press)
https://apnews.com/article/government-shutdown-airlines-faa-e39c423facec2b0dcc2544af48de0fa1
http://www.memeorandum.com/251105/p136#a251105p136

Michael Saylor's Strategy creates a $1.44B cash reserve funded by stock sales after cutting full-year profit and BTC yield targets due to bitcoin price drops (Stephen Alpher/CoinDesk)
https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/12/0

Michael Saylor and Strategy (MSTR) Raise Cash to Fund Preferred Dividends
Led by Executive Chairman Michael Saylor, the company also added to its bitcoin holdings last week, bringing its total stack to 650,000 BTC.

Replaced article(s) found for cs.GT. https://arxiv.org/list/cs.GT/new
[1/1]:
- Cumulative Games: Who is the current player?
Urban Larsson, Reshef Meir, Yair Zick
https://arxiv.org/abs/2005.06326
- Contest Design with Threshold Objectives
Edith Elkind, Abheek Ghosh, Paul W. Goldberg
https://arxiv.org/abs/2109.03179
- Deep Learning Meets Mechanism Design: Key Results and Some Novel Applications
V. Udaya Sankar, Vishisht Srihari Rao, Y. Narahari
https://arxiv.org/abs/2401.05683 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_csGT_bot/111741115483021453
- Charting the Shapes of Stories with Game Theory
Daskalakis, Gemp, Jiang, Leme, Papadimitriou, Piliouras
https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.05747 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_csGT_bot/113627246220336424
- Computing Evolutionarily Stable Strategies in Multiplayer Games
Sam Ganzfried
https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.20859 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_csGT_bot/115620508246637361
- Autodeleveraging: Impossibilities and Optimization
Tarun Chitra
https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.01112 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_csGT_bot/115649040881525135
- Static Pricing Guarantees for Queueing Systems
Jacob Bergquist, Adam N. Elmachtoub
https://arxiv.org/abs/2305.09168 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_csDS_bot/110382625621173269
- Game of arrivals at a two queue network with heterogeneous customer routes
Agniv Bandyopadhyay, Sandeep Juneja
https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.18149 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_csPF_bot/111322112226936579
- Characterization of Priority-Neutral Matching Lattices
Clayton Thomas
https://arxiv.org/abs/2404.02142 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_econTH_bot/112205968984928881
- Seven kinds of equivalent models for generalized coalition logics
Zixuan Chen, Fengkui Ju
https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.05466 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_csLO_bot/113819715349259373
- Matching Markets Meet LLMs: Algorithmic Reasoning with Ranked Preferences
Hadi Hosseini, Samarth Khanna, Ronak Singh
https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.04478 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_csAI_bot/114635186215388479
toXiv_bot_toot

Robinhood is set to join Indonesia's retail investment boom after agreeing to acquire local brokerages PT Buana Capital Sekuritas and PT Pedagang Aset Kripto (Prima Wirayani/Bloomberg)
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/20

Robinhood Set to Enter Indonesia Market as Retail Investors Boom
Robinhood Markets Inc. is set to enter the Indonesian market after signing deals to acquire two local brokerages, underscoring the appeal of the Southeast Asian country’s growing ranks of retail investors.

Coinbase is rolling out stock trading, more advanced trading tools, prediction markets via Kalshi, and more, amid a push to be a one-stop financial app (MacKenzie Sigalos/CNBC)
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/17/coinbase-prediction-markets-stock-tradin…

Coinbase adds prediction markets and stock trading in push to be one-stop trading app
Coinbase is expanding into stocks, advanced trading, prediction markets, and new tools for businesses, developers, and automated financial guidance.

Crosslisted article(s) found for cs.GT. https://arxiv.org/list/cs.GT/new
[1/1]:
- AI-Generated Compromises for Coalition Formation: Modeling, Simulation, and a Textual Case Study
Eyal Briman, Ehud Shapiro, Nimrod Talmon
https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.05983 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_csMA_bot/115688474865840195
- Going All-In on LLM Accuracy: Fake Prediction Markets, Real Confidence Signals
Michael Todasco
https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.05998
- Small-Gain Nash: Certified Contraction to Nash Equilibria in Differentiable Games
Vedansh Sharma
https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.06791 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_csLG_bot/115689591150148735
- Characterizing Lane-Changing Behavior in Mixed Traffic
Sungyong Chung, Alireza Talebpour, Samer H. Hamdar
https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.07219 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_csMA_bot/115688571373683355
- Understanding LLM Agent Behaviours via Game Theory: Strategy Recognition, Biases and Multi-Agent ...
Kiet Huynh, et al.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.07462 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_csMA_bot/115688610063828863
- Optimal Auction Design under Costly Learning
Kemal Ozbek
https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.07798 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_econTH_bot/115688939067758036
toXiv_bot_toot

Polymarket agrees to its first media partnership to supply Dow Jones outlets, including the WSJ and Barron's, with real-time prediction market trading data (Katherine Doherty/Bloomberg)
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/20

Polymarket to Distribute Prediction Data to Dow Jones Outlets
Polymarket will supply Dow Jones with trading data under a new partnership, the latest in a string of deals between exchanges and media organizations that are putting prediction markets in front of a broader audience.

Sources: China told some local tech companies to temporarily halt purchase orders for Nvidia's H200 chips while officials deliberate on import conditions (Qianer Liu/The Information)
https://www.theinformation.com/articles/china-tells-tech-…

China Tells Tech Companies to Halt Nvidia H200 Chip Orders
The Chinese government this week asked some tech companies to temporarily halt plans to buy Nvidia’s H200 AI chips, according to two people involved in the communication, throwing up a possible roadblock in Nvidia’s hopes of restarting chip sales to one of its biggest markets. The instruction ...

Digital asset treasuries, one of the hottest trends in public markets in H1 2025, saw a dramatic reversal in H2; SharpLink stock has fallen 86% from its peak (Monique Mulima/Bloomberg)
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/20…

Robinhood plans to launch a futures and derivatives exchange with Susquehanna in 2026 and says it's buying MIAXdx, which clears and executes derivatives trades (Hannah Erin Lang/Wall Street Journal)
https://www.

Robinhood, Susquehanna to Launch Exchange to Expand Prediction Markets Offerings
The new exchange will help Robinhood offer additional prediction contracts tied to sports, elections and other future events

AWS announces a commitment to invest up to $50B to build AI and HPC infrastructure for the US government, starting in 2026 and adding nearly 1.3 GW of capacity (Eric Revell/Fox Business)
https://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/amazon-invest…

Amazon to invest up to $50B to build AI infrastructure for US government agencies
AWS announced an investment of up to $50 billion to build AI and supercomputing infrastructure for U.S. government agencies starting in 2026 through a new initiative.

Google adds Gemini's Deep Search to Google Finance, which will also have prediction market data from Kalshi and Polymarket for event analysis, first in the US (Aamir Siddiqui/Android Authority)
https://www.androidauthority.com/google-finance…

Google Finance wants to become your smartest investing assistant with these new features
Google Finance is getting Deep Search as well as prediction markets data from Kalshi and Polymarket, alongside an international expansion.

Kalshi and Polymarket have partnered with social media accounts purporting to be breaking news reporters, some of which have repeatedly posted false information (Jordy Fee-Platt/The Athletic)
https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6876922/2

Kalshi, Polymarket are partnering with X accounts claiming to be sports insiders
As Polymarket and Kalshi continue to grow in popularity, they have worked with social media accounts claiming to be breaking news reporters.

Shares of Shenzhen-based OneRobotics opened flat in their HK debut after the Chinese home robotics maker raised $210M by selling 22M shares at about $9.50 each (Nikkei Asia)
https://asia.nikkei.com/business/markets/ipo/amazo…

Amazon supplier of household robots shares open flat on trading debut
OneRobotics raises $210mn to expand global market presence

Email: Indian crypto exchange WazirX plans to resume operations on October 24, following a court-approved restructuring, after hackers stole $230M in July 2024 (Shaurya Malwa/CoinDesk)
https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/10/2

WazirX Latest News: Users Can Start Trading on Friday After $230M Hack Comes to Close
That was the final step in a process that began after a massive security breach last year froze assets, shuttered withdrawals, and effectively took India’s oldest crypto platform offline.

Robinhood reports Q3 revenue up 100% YoY to $1.27B, vs. $1.19B est., transaction-based revenue up 129% to $730M, vs. $739M est., and net income up 271% to $556M (MacKenzie Sigalos/CNBC)
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/05/robinhood-hood-q3-2025-earnings.html
…

Robinhood doubles revenue as it beats third-quarter earnings expectations
CFO Jason Warnick said prediction markets and Bitstamp are generating about $100 million or more in annualized revenues.

The US CFTC withdraws its 2020 guidance on the "actual delivery" of a digital asset, aiming to support broader access to regulated crypto markets (Micah Zimmerman/Bitcoin Magazine)
https://bitcoinmagazine.com/markets/cftc-scraps-overly-complex-crypto-rul…

CFTC Cuts ‘Outdated And Overly Complex’ Crypto Guidance
The CFTC is withdrawing outdated crypto delivery guidance, paving the way for updated rules amid expanding oversight.

Dating apps are pivoting to Asia as swipe-right fatigue hits the West; India, China, and Indonesia ranked among the top five markets by downloads in 2025 (Financial Times)
https://www.ft.com/content/6269bc1f-0380-4150-8bad-8ead98ba1b48

Coinbase agrees to acquire prediction markets startup The Clearing Company for an undisclosed sum; the startup was founded in 2025 and raised a $15M seed (Yogita Khatri/The Block)
https://www.theblock.co/post/383497/coinbase-to-acquire-…

Polymarket's Ukraine war betting, based on ISW's map, generated $1M in volume for "Will Russia capture Myrnohrad?"; an "unauthorized" map edit resolved the bet (Matthew Gault/404 Media)
https://www.404media.co/unauthorized-edit-

'Unauthorized' Edit to Ukraine's Frontline Maps Point to Polymarket's War Betting
It looks like someone invented a fake Russia advance in Ukraine to manipulate online gambling markets.

Brian Armstrong deliberately used certain words during Coinbase's Q3 call to sway $84,000 in bets on Kalshi and Polymarket over which terms would be mentioned (Bloomberg)
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-31/…

DraftKings launches DraftKings Predictions, a new app that lets customers in 38 states trade contracts on sports and financial events through prediction markets (Ira Boudway/Bloomberg)
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/20

Shares of Super Bank Indonesia, a Grab-backed digital lender, rose by 24% during their stock market debut in Jakarta, after the company raised ~$168M in its IPO (Ismi Damayanti/Nikkei Asia)
https://asia.nikkei.com/business/marke

Superbank trading halted after 24% jump in Indonesia market debut
Grab-backed lender's IPO rides interest in booming digital banking business

A look at Mexico City's Nuevo Polanco neighborhood, where Huawei, TikTok, and other Chinese firms have opened offices, fueling a growing Chinese tech community (Daniela Dib/Rest of World)
https://restofworld.org/2025/chinese-tech-companies-mexico-city/

Chinese businesses are transforming Mexico City’s poshest neighborhood
A growing Chinese techie community in Nuevo Polanco is fueling a boom in restaurants and markets to serve them.

CME Group says trading on its markets, including the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, was halted on November 28 due to a cooling issue at CyrusOne's data centers (Reuters)
https://www.reuters.com/business/cme-trading-halted-due-cooling-issue-data-cen…

Shares of Indian payment startup Pine Labs debuted at ~$2.73, up 9.5% from the ~$2.49 IPO price, after a $440M IPO earlier this week that was 2x oversubscribed (Soumyajit Saha/Nikkei Asia)
https://asia.nikkei.com/business/marke…

Indian fintech Pine Labs rises in trading debut after $440m offering
Payments company had earlier slashed IPO over valuation concerns

Ripple's shares trade between $135 and $170 in private markets, up ~2x-3x since early 2025, valuing the company at $22B-$30B after several major acquisitions (Nina Bambysheva/Forbes)
http://www.forbes.com/sites/ninabambysheva/2025/10/28/insid…

Inside Ripple’s $180 Billion Reinvention
Freed from its SEC lawsuit, Ripple, long a blockchain payments company with little actual business, is finally acquiring its way toward a legitimate multibillion-dollar crypto empire.

The AI buildout, surpassing railroads and the internet, moves Big Tech from its successful asset-light model, and prior booms have resulted in overinvestment (Kai Wu/Sparkline Capital)
https://www.sparklinecapital.com/post/surviving-the-ai-capex-boom

Surviving the AI Capex Boom
Big Tech’s AI buildout is transforming markets. Drawing on the lessons of past capex booms, we offer a playbook for investors.