Tootfinder

The stupidity of #47s pointless war with #Iran is damaging in so many ways - ways most of us never considered. It's more than the dead & injured and #inflation that get so much news coverage - and here is one m…

Ships stuck in strait of Hormuz pose ‘super-spreader’ biodiversity threat, scientists warn
Biologists say cargo ships stranded in Gulf may carry highly potent invasive species around the world as trade resumes

The stupidity of #47s pointless war with #Iran is damaging in so many ways - ways most of us never considered. It's more than the dead & injured and #inflation that get so much news coverage - and here is one m…

Ships stuck in strait of Hormuz pose ‘super-spreader’ biodiversity threat, scientists warn
Biologists say cargo ships stranded in Gulf may carry highly potent invasive species around the world as trade resumes

Paul Volcker, who navigated the Fed through one of the worst bouts of inflation in the 1970s and 1980s,
told Kevin Warsh, then a governor, that the central bank’s job boiled down to two primary responsibilities.
The first was getting interest rates “about right.”
The second was to “make sure you look like you know what you’re doing.”
Those duties are top of mind as Mr. Warsh prepares for his first address as chairman to the world’s leading economic policymakers in Jac…

‘Honeymoon’s Over’: Warsh Under Pressure as Fed Weighs Raising Rates
Kevin M. Warsh is scheduled to deliver his first address at the Federal Reserve’s annual conference in Jackson, Wyo., with U.S. government bond markets on edge and inflation risks resurfacing.

Fed Chairman Seeks to Calm Concerns About Elevated Inflation (Colby Smith/New York Times)
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/08/28/business/fed-kevin-warsh-speech-inflation.html?unlocked_article_code=1.81A.hst3.a0_ff5djXaPY&smid=nytcore-ios-share
http://www.memeorandum.com/260828/p55#a260828p55

Twenty months into his second term,
there is a widening gap between Donald Trump’s self-perceived invincibility and the reality of his waning influence.
Federal courts are reining him in.
Congressional Republicans are straying from the script.
Poll numbers are tumbling to historic depths, driven by persistent inflation, rising fuel costs and an increasingly unpopular war in Iran.
For the first time since his improbable political resurrection, Trump’s aura of au…

‘The weaker he gets, the more dangerous he gets’: Trump lashes out as his power wanes
Trump tries to dominate at the UN as his approval ratings plummet and even some Republicans distance themselves from him

"World leaders address climate crisis before UN meet amid record-breaking El Niño"
#ElNino #Climate #ClimateChange

World leaders address climate crisis before UN meet amid record-breaking El Niño
Prime ministers of Australia and Iceland discuss effects on their countries even as some shy away in face of war and inflation

Eine Kritik der Inflationstheorien, erster Teil die bürgerliche #Wirtschaftsesoterik und ihre drei führenden "Theorien": #Monetarismus, #Keynesianismus,

Theorien der Inflation (Teil I)
Ich habe Michael Roberts' Artikel über Theories of inflation: part one – the mainstream übersetzen lassen und Text und Grafiken überarbeitet. Die Links sind von mir. Guglielmo Carchedi und ich arbeiten seit mehreren Jahren an einer Theorie der Inflation. Vor einiger Zeit haben wir eine ausführliche Abhandlung abgeschlossen, die von einer marxistischen Zeitschrift zur Veröffentlichung angenomm ...

All eight major streamers together cost about $151/month without ads or bundles, up from $90 in 2022, as prices rose more than 3x faster than inflation (James Hibberd/The Hollywood Reporter)
https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/business

Streaming Is Raising Prices Faster Than Cable Ever Did
Congrats, you cut the cord. Now you have six more cords. Streaming prices are rising three times as fast as inflation, making escaping cable company greed now seem quaint.

Sank auf 3,2 Prozent - Inflation im Juni: Preisdruck lässt endlich nach #News #Nachrichten

"It’s all tied to inflation, and where markets see that going – which is not down. Oil is expected to be higher for a lot longer than people believed a few months ago. Iran is a mess. Trump is a disaster. The Middle East has been upended. Global trade is seriously disrupted. Tariffs everywhere. Costs are rising. Supply chains broken. Everything costs more, and much of that is because of one single human being."
- Garth Turner
GUESS WHO

There are several, overlapping reasons for the bond market sell-off.
One is inflation.
Treasuries, which pay a fixed amount each year, are in part a bet on the future value of money
– with higher inflation eroding the real value of those payments.
With the Iran conflict slipping towards a forever war, keeping oil prices elevated,
and amid concerns about the new Federal Reserve chair Kevin Warsh’s willingness to raise interest rates,
investors are fretting …

Jumpy bond markets make it clear: Trump risks driving US into debt crisis
Treasury secretary Scott Bessent’s attempt to calm bond markets is a sign of weakness not strength

Complaints about the high price of food are common across the rich world.
In Germany the beloved döner kebab has come to embody rising costs.
Espresso is a “thermometer of the real economy” in Italy according to Corriere della Sera, a newspaper.
The price of cabbage, the main ingredient in kimchi, has become a symbol of inflation in South Korea.
The government even maintains a cabbage stockpile that it can release when prices soar.

Kommentar: Tim Cook, ein Meister der (Preis)politik
Apple hat seine Preise durch die Bank weg kräftig angehoben, selbst bei Altware – und begründet das mit der RAM-Inflation. Die Vorgehensweise ist bemerkenswert.
https:…

Kommentar: Tim Cook, ein Meister der (Preis)politik
Apple hat seine Preise durch die Bank weg kräftig angehoben, selbst bei Altware – und begründet das mit der RAM-Inflation. Die Vorgehensweise ist bemerkenswert.

>Browsing boxes of old pictures.
>Found a "sign" which listed my parent's house (house we currently live in).
>Fl.110K (about 119.5K euro today - adjusting for inflation).
Good luck finding a house like this for that money nowadays. :blobeyes:

U.S. inflation accelerated last month
as gas prices spiked in the wake of renewed fighting in the Middle East,
underscoring the affordability challenges that are top of mind for many voters with midterm elections now just seven weeks away.
The consumer price index rose 3.4% last month compared with a year ago,
the Labor Department said Friday,
the same as in July.
But on a monthly basis, inflation quickened,
as costs jumped 0.4% from July to August…

U.S. Inflation Accelerates as Gas Prices Continue to Climb
The figures show that inflation remains stubbornly elevated, more than five years after prices first soared as the economy emerged from the COVID pandemic.

My first “internet" connection (which was through a local BBS) was on a 2400 baud modem (which was a serious upgrade from my friend's 1200).
Today, for around the same monthly ISP price (accounting for inflation), I have ~1,000,000x the speed (and I don't have to worry about a picked-up receiver killing off my XMODEM transfer).
(2192/2285 Mbps up/down, measured, if that screen shot doesn't come all the way through the quote post.)

Har det ställts en enda fråga till politikerna om den svenska kronans försvagning mot euron i år?
Tänker att det är rätt relevant, med tanke på risken för stigande inflation i höst och vinter (inflationen drivs ofta på av dyrare import). #val2026

Hello, I’d like to report a federal crime.
Potus says he is bribing voters, Treasury Secretary applauds him, this is conspiracy to commit federal crimes (18 U.S. Code § 597, 18 U.S. Code § 600 , and 52 U.S. Code § 10307(c), state laws).
They conspired to commit crime, regardless of it being unfeasible:
~330 million people, ~73% over 18, so ~241 million $5K checks costing ~$1.2 trillion, with a T. Financed with debt or printing money, making inflation worse.

Mehrwertsteuer auf Spritpreise senken - kann #Reiche eigentlich strategisch denken?
Das kann nur vorübergehend sein und wenn die MwSt-Senkung ausläuft, heizen die dann wieder höheren Preise die Inflation an.
Es braucht eine Übergewinnsteuer, oder aber die Ölkonzerne reduzieren Ihren Preis und schmälern freiwillig so ihre Übergewinne.
In Österreich sollte der Klimabonus wieder eingeführ…

#Steady #Klimacrew
Die Abos der Microsoft-Copiloten sind in Wirklichkeit Eintritt!
Schon relativ früh habe ich eines der Copilot-Derivate ausprobiert. Das war 2024 – glaube ich – und noch lange vor der Copilot-Inflation. Was ich aber nie wusste ist, dass es sich um

Die Abos der Microsoft-Copiloten sind in Wirklichkeit Eintritt!
KI-Tools für Profis – oder doch nur Spaß? Ein Blick in den Copilot-Disclaimer von Microsoft verleitet zum Schmunzeln.

Can verify the changes in restaurant operations in Japan. These are extremely common now.
✅ The restaurant business is changing beyond recognition: Blame technology, inflation and customers’ shifting habits - The Economist
https://www.economist.com/internatio…

Integrable models of inflation beyond slow-roll
M. Bianchi, G. Dibitetto, J. F. Morales, V. Zevola
https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.06071 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2608.06071 https://arxiv.org/html/2608.06071
arXiv:2608.06071v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: We propose a novel analytic approach to the study of multi-component FLRW cosmologies and their perturbations. The dynamics is triggered by a single scalar field with a scalar potential codifying the energy density and pressure of the multi-component fluid. This description unifies standard Big Bang cosmologies, models of inflation and dark energy under a unique framework. The key to integrability is to express the scalar potential in terms of the Hubble function $H(\phi)$ that plays the role of a fake superpotential, turning the dynamics into a first order problem, that may be analytically solved in a suitable time coordinate. In this framework, we propose integrable inflationary models with similar properties to the ones analysed in the literature and compatible with observations. Finally, we study scalar and tensor cosmological perturbations in each model by integrating Mukhanov-Sasaki equations via numerical and (semi-)analytic techniques. This allow us to compute the power spectrum, the spectral indices and the tensor-to-scalar ratio beyond the slow-roll approximation and compare our general results {against} the currently available observations and the theoretical predictions based on the slow-roll approximation.
toXiv_bot_toot

A Global Economy Jolted by an Oil Shock Now Gets a Tariff Reminder (Patricia Cohen/New York Times)
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/25/business/economy/trump-tariffs-iran-war-inflation.html
http://www.memeorandum.com/260725/p58#a260725p58

Donald Trumpon on Monday imposed 50% tariffs on most Canadian goods,
declaring that Canada has unfairly discriminated against American autos, alcohol and dairy products.
The move could unleash a new wave of economic chaos,
with risks of higher inflation and further fraying of relations between two nations that had been closely woven together before Trump’s return to the White House.
The administration official previewing the action said that Canada was one of the only…

Trump 50% tariffs target Canadian autos, alcohol and cheese
President Donald Trump has imposed 50% tariffs on most Canadian goods, declaring that Canada has unfairly discriminated against American autos, alcohol and dairy products. The move, announced Monday, could unleash a new wave of economic chaos, with risks of higher inflation and further fraying of relations between two nations that had been closely woven together before Trump’s return to the White House. The administration official previewing the action said that Canada was one of the only nat…

On interest rates:
Central bankers "believe that they can guide the economy to low inflation economic growth, without upsetting the existing social and institutional arrangements....
"But ...we should reject the sedative doctrine that all will be well when interest rates come down and capitalism can solve all our problems at a lower cost of credit. Interest rates are not the obstacles to prosperity, social welfare, and a green and sustainable future: capitalism is."…

Monetary Policy and Capitalism - Monthly Review
Jan Toporowski explains our contemporary age of “monetary policy dominance”: the era in which the setting of short-term interest rates by the central banks is seen as the key instrument... READ MORE

Spritpreis als Treiber - Inflation im August auf 3,2 Prozent gestiegen #News #Nachrichten

@… Food prices are the hardest prices to manipulate. The grocery store (and chicken equivalent) are where we're seeing how much inflation there really is now.

Here’s why wages are falling behind inflation, an economic warning sign
It wasn’t so long ago that Americans’ earnings lost ground to inflation.
From 2021 to 2023, prices for gas, food and housing soared due to a combination of increased demand and supply chain shocks.
That pain weighed heavily on households across the country,
even helping Donald Trump retake the White House.

“This is one of the reasons consumers hate the economy.
They’ve never recov…

Here’s why wages are falling behind inflation, an economic warning sign
Inflation beat out wage growth again in August, which feels like 2023.

'Is a crash coming, reminiscent of 2008, only worse? The signs are ominous. The US just notched up a record $40tn in national debt. France, the UK, Japan and others are deep in the red, too. Unmanageable current-account deficits, rising inflation and the huge, draining diversion of investment into bloated AI tech companies all point to what market analysts cutely call a “disorderly correction”. "

The world is being driven to the brink by thugs and dictators, but there is a route to a brighter future
It’s no surprise some analysts say we are already in the midst of the third world war, but ordinary people have more power than we think, says Guardian foreign affairs commentator Simon Tisdall

I'm so old that I remember #EuRuKo being affordable for people from not-so-wealthy countries.
But I guess 🇨🇿 #Czechia hit inflation too for #EuRuKo2026.
It was nice that :ruby:

My 10-year-old daughter is making an ice cream truck out of cardboard, sized for one of her little stuffed animals. She is being very detailed, and has chosen the particular flavors of ice cream and sherbet the truck will have, and is making a menu sign.
Naturally she's putting prices on it. But she's not making numbers up, or asking us for a common price for a scoop of ice cream. (Which seems absurdly expensive these days -- I know, inflation, but, yikes.)
No, she's …

Central bankers in economies including the US, Japan and the UK will face a moment of truth this week,
as surging inflation raises the prospect of higher interest rates.
Policymakers in all three countries will set rates in the next seven days
against the backdrop of turbulent global bond markets.
In particular, investors will be watching closely to see if Kevin Warsh, the new chair of the US Federal Reserve,
can face down Donald Trump’s demands for rate cuts an…

Surging inflation puts interest rates back in focus as policymakers meet in Japan, US and UK
Iran war and turbulent global bond markets add to pressure as rate decisions loom this week in major western economies

RE: https://fedi.lwn.net/@lwn/117197155183747117
LWN is raising its subscription prices for 20% to make up for the inflation of the last 5 years.
If you don't know it yet:

North America's 2026 summer box office revenue of $4.76B is 17% below 2019, adjusted for inflation; est. Jan. 1-Aug. 16 tickets fell 30% vs. same period in 2019 (New York Times)
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/09/07/business/media/summ…

Hollywood’s Box Office Boom Comes With 248 Million Missing Tickets
Strong box office sales this summer have Hollywood celebrating. But a closer look at the numbers offers a sobering reality check.

🇺🇦 #NowPlaying on #BBC6Music's #TheMusicIsBlack
Crazy Cousinz:
🎵 Inflation
#CrazyCousinz

Trump's $5,000 dividend would reignite inflation and swell the U.S. deficit, economists say - CBS News
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-5000-checks-inflation-deficit-economists/

Escalated U.S.-Canada trade talks threaten fallout (Axios)
https://www.axios.com/2026/08/24/canada-trade-inflation
http://www.memeorandum.com/260825/p2#a260825p2

The Quantum Mechanics of Rare Events: From Quantum Walks to Stochastic Inflation
Daniel Green, Kshitij Gupta, Akhil Premkumar
https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.06319 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2608.06319 https://arxiv.org/html/2608.06319
arXiv:2608.06319v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Rare fluctuations in physical systems depend on the detailed microphysics responsible for the fluctuations. In classical statistical systems, the large deviation principle has elucidated the role of semi-classics in describing this regime, and has simultaneously provided a the mathematical foundation of statistical mechanics. Large deviation theory for quantum system is considerably less developed. As all physical systems are fundamentally quantum mechanical, this leaves a major gap in our understanding of rare fluctuations relevant to statistical physics, cosmology, and more. In this paper, we develop the practical aspects of the theory of large deviations relevant for calculating rare events in physical systems from quantum walks to cosmology. We first analyze the case of the anharmonic oscillator coupled to a bath, showing explicitly how the system evolves from dominantly statistical (e.g. thermal) to quantum fluctuations. We then generalize these results, showing that the dominant rare fluctuations minimize the measurement-induced relative entropy. This perspective provides a thermodynamic description of a wide range of open quantum systems. We apply these results to random walks that arise in cosmology through stochastic inflation. We show that the evolution of the density matrix of long wavelength fields on a fixed de Sitter background breaks the KMS symmetry, giving rise to a stationary density matrix that does not respect detailed balance.
toXiv_bot_toot

On Bridging Mixture Distributions
Pierre Del Moral, Ajay Jasra, Ke Zhao
https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.13383 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2608.13383 https://arxiv.org/html/2608.13383
arXiv:2608.13383v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: In this article we consider bridging between two mixture probability measures. In particular, given access to a Markov kernel between two component distributions, we provide a general mechanism to generate samples from one mixture to the other. Associated to a given reference and extended state space, we prove entropic optimality of this approach. In order to use this idea one needs to know the underlying mixtures and the Markov kernel, which is seldom available, and so we consider the case of Gaussian mixtures and Schr\"odinger Bridges. We prove a general $2-$Wasserstein continuity bound between the exact bridge and one that is approximated, based on $\epsilon-$covariance inflation, and these rely on a novel continuity analysis of perturbed Riccati maps. We apply our results in the context of bridging mixtures of Gaussians, single Gaussians and empirical estimators of the Gaussian parameters and the Monge map. For mixtures of Gaussians, when the parameters are estimated using the Expectation-Maxmization algorithm, the upper-bound on the $2-$Wasserstein distance between the true and approximated bridges is, under assumptions and with probability at least $1-10N^{-1}$, $\mathcal{O}\big(\big[\big(\tfrac{d\log N}{N}\big)^{1/2}\left\{1 \big(\tfrac{d\log N}{N}\right)^{1/2}(\epsilon^{-2} 1)\big\} \epsilon^2\big]\big) $
and for the other two cases, in expectation, $\mathcal{O}\left(d\left\{\tfrac{1 \epsilon^{-2}}{1 N} \epsilon^2\right\}\right)$, where $d,N\in\mathbb{N}$ is the dimension of the Gaussian and the number of empirical samples respectively. We also investigate our bounds numerically.
toXiv_bot_toot

Nervous investors across big economies have been dumping government bonds,
driving up the cost of borrowing, as surging oil prices amplified fears about rising inflation.
The cost of a barrel of oil jumped 6% to above $107 on Thursday amid concerns that advances by Houthi rebels along the Red Sea coast in Yemen could choke off Saudi crude exports.
The global bond sell-off that has rocked markets in recent weeks resumed in response to the news from the Middle East
– wh…

Global bond sell-off resumes as surging oil prices stoke fears about inflation
Crude jumps above $107 a barrel amid concerns over Middle East conflict and out-of-control government borrowing

Plus Transportkosten - Steuerzahler soll 30.000 € für Sobotka-Foto zahlen #News #Nachrichten

"A cost-of-living government cannot stay wedded to a White House setting the world on fire."
"A climate-conscious government is also one that can’t stay wedded to a White House setting the world on fire. And climate chaos is now a major driver of scarcity in international markets leading us back to inflation and the cost of living."
You can’t separate the cost-of-living crisis from foreign policy | Morning Star

Random close packing at extreme size ratios with an Adam-based inflation protocol
Kenneth Desmond
https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.12235 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2608.12235 https://arxiv.org/html/2608.12235
arXiv:2608.12235v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: We present \texttt{rcpgenerator}, an openly available code for generating $d$-dimensional dense, disordered, non-overlapping close packings from an arbitrary prescribed list of particle diameters. The method adapts the Clarke--Wiley inflation protocol, but instead uses the Adam optimizer to relax the particle configuration. Typically, particle coordinates are advanced with a single, global step size, which must shrink as the size ratio $S\equiv D_{\max}/D_{\min}$ grows, generally stalling the optimization. Adam instead gives each coordinate its own adaptive step size, stabilizing the optimization time across a broader range of $S$. We demonstrate this in three-dimensional periodic tests that reach $S\sim5\times10^{5}$ for a continuous lognormal distribution ($N\sim10^{6}$ diameters) and particle numbers up to $N\approx5.6\times10^{6}$ for power-law distributions, with the densest packings reaching $\phi\simeq0.87$, each completed in minutes to hours on a multicore machine. Across truncated-lognormal, truncated-power-law, and Weibull distributions, the resulting $\phi$ reproduces trends such as the locations of peaks and knees with distribution shape and $S$ found in prior numerical results and in the parameter-free Farr--Groot prediction, with a remaining offset typically $0.005$--$0.01$. Additionally, results are commensurate with multimodal packing densities measured in vibrated-bed experiments. The code and the complete per-case census behind every figure are released with the paper.
toXiv_bot_toot

Crosslisted article(s) found for astro-ph.CO. https://arxiv.org/list/astro-ph.CO/new
[1/1]:
- A multi-axion model of inflation and dark matter
Marcos A. G. Garcia, Hansel Gordillo-Ruiz, Raul Henriquez-Ortiz, Saul Ramos-Sanchez
https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.26138 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_hepph_bot/117007836099909893
- Abundant production of scalars and axions from phase transition bubble expansion
Isabel Garcia Garcia, Gaurang Ramakant Kane, John March-Russell, Andrea Paolini
https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.02729 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_hepph_bot/117041816633624483
- Determination of the Angular Momentum of Radiated Gravitons, Scalars, and Dark Photons from Binar...
Arpan Hait, Subhendra Mohanty
https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.02742 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_grqc_bot/117041806016644670
- A "Neutrino Fog" For Gravitational Waves: The Stochastic Gravitational Wave Background from Super...
Alex Rojewski, Cecilia Lunardini
https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.02747 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_astrophHE_bot/117041760204423284
- Minimal Scale-Invariant Dark Matter
Alexander Belyaev, Roman Pasechnik, Rishav Roshan, Alfonso Zerwekh
https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.03019 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_hepph_bot/117041900391599501
- A Tale of Two Couplings: Bayesian Selection in the Interacting Dark Sector
Miguel Barroso Varela, \'Alvaro de la Cruz-Dombriz
https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.03981 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_grqc_bot/117041930869136030
toXiv_bot_toot

The U.S. economy expanded at a sluggish 1.5% pace from April through June
as rising imports weighed on growth
-- yet consumers continued to spend.
And the Federal Reserve’s favored measure of inflation grew more slowly last month
-- but it remained above the central bank’s 2% target at a time when Americans are frustrated about the high cost of living ahead of the midterm elections, now less than 100 days away.

US economy slows, yet Americans still spending in face of inflation
The U.S. economy expanded at a sluggish 1.5% pace from April through June as rising imports weighed on growth. But consumer spending rose. And the Federal Reserve’s favored measure of inflation grew more slowly last month, but remained above the central bank’s 2% target. The Commerce Department reported Thursday that growth in U.S. gross domestic product — the nation’s output of goods and services — decelerated from 2.1% in the first three months of 2026 and came in below economists�…

The Next Inflation Shock: $1 Million-a-Day Oil Tankers (Javier Blas/Bloomberg)
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2026-09-21/oil-market-the-1-million-a-day-oil-tanker-will-drive-inflation
http://www.memeorandum.com/260921/p114#a260921p114

BBC staff fear strike action inevitable as unions reject the corporation's proposal of a 1% or £500 pay increase, whichever is higher (Michael Savage/The Guardian)
https://www.theguardian.com/media/2026/jul/01/bbc-staff-fear-strike-action-p…

BBC staff fear strike action inevitable after 1% pay rise offer prompts anger
Unions reject proposed below-inflation increase which comes as corporation prepares to cut thousands of jobs

The bond market prepares for a hike in interest rates while stocks drift lower
The bond market swung Friday as investors built bets that the Federal Reserve may hike interest rates soon to get the nation’s high inflation under control.
U.S. stocks, meanwhile, dipped
but not by much after economists said a speech by Chairman Kevin Warsh helped strengthen faith that the Fed will do what’s needed to bring inflation down,
even if it causes pain for the economy in the sh…

Bond market prepares for interest rate hike while stocks drift lower
The bond market swung as investors built bets that the Federal Reserve may hike interest rates soon to get the nation’s high inflation under control.

„Kein gutes Regime“ - Wifo-Chef: Dieses Prinzip treibt jetzt Strompreise #News #Nachrichten

Integrable models of inflation beyond slow-roll
M. Bianchi, G. Dibitetto, J. F. Morales, V. Zevola
https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.06071 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2…

Der #Klimawandel schädigt die #Wirtschaft:
Das #Niedrigwasser am #Rhein belastet weiter…

Niedrigwasser und Inflation: Pegelstände runter - Preise rauf?
Langsam normalisiert sich der Wasserstand des Rhein, der auch eine wichtige Transportroute ist. Rechtzeitig genug, damit ein Preisschock ausbleibt?

For a while now, the global economy has been beating the odds.
The energy shock prompted by the American and Israeli attacks on Iran in February set off the largest disruption of worldwide energy flows in history. Yet despite jumps in oil prices, widening conflict in the Middle East, fuel shortages and inflation pressures, the feared crash never came and most economies managed to muddle through.
But wiggle room is narrowing at the same time the outlook is darkening. Look at what …

Global Economy Is Running Out of Wiggle Room
Many countries blunted the most painful effects of the energy shock from the war in Iran. But prices remain elevated and risks are multiplying.

RE: https://hachyderm.io/@thomasfuchs/117074389078981310
The fun part: the configuration this is in would have cost around (adjusted for inflation) $15,000 in 1997

How Dilatation Invariance Suppresses Loop Corrections to Curvature Perturbations on CMB Scales
Danilo Artigas, Shi Pi, Takahiro Tanaka, Yuko Urakawa
https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.03725 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2608.03725 https://arxiv.org/html/2608.03725
arXiv:2608.03725v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Departures from standard slow-roll (SR) inflation have attracted increasing interest in recent years. In particular, scenarios that strongly enhance the power spectrum of the curvature perturbation are often proposed as a mechanism for producing primordial black holes, which could account for part or the totality of dark matter. An ongoing debate in these models is whether non-linear interactions of cosmological perturbations on small scales, namely loop corrections, can become sufficiently large to backreact on CMB scales. In this work, we adopt a non-linear framework, dropping spatial-gradient terms, to study loop corrections at super-Hubble scales. Our focus is to clarify the role of spatial-diffeomorphism invariance, especially dilatation invariance, which is the symmetry under overall rescaling of spatial coordinates, in demonstrating the suppression of loop corrections to the CMB power spectrum. This analysis is valid for any inflaton potential, both with smooth and sharp transitions, and at any loop order, as long as the CMB scales cross the horizon during an SR phase. We compare this result with the different explanations proposed in the literature using various gauge choices, and show our analysis is consistent both in the comoving and in the spatially-flat gauges. In particular, we show that in the spatially-flat gauge, the cubic interaction contains a term that diverges in the sharp transition limit. However, this contribution is exactly cancelled by the quartic interaction.
toXiv_bot_toot

IMF warns of sharp slowdown in global economy
https://thehill.com/business/5959619-imf-outlook-inflation-iran-war/

Why Treasury Secretary Bessent's moves to calm the bond market haven't worked so far (Associated Press)
https://apnews.com/article/rates-bond-market-bessent-inflation-c6e148f8235a98245adf04b2d4bdd8d1
http://www.memeorandum.com/260820/p134#a260820p134

As higher prices are burning a larger hole in consumers’ wallets,
it may seem counterintuitive that the Federal Reserve made borrowing costs even higher by raising rates on Wednesday.
But the reason stems from the fact that even though rates are higher than they were for much of the first two decades of the 2000s,
consumer spending, business investment and other measures of the health of the economy are all running hot.
And inflation, the rise in prices that can resu…

Why the Fed Might Raise Interest Rates When Borrowing Costs Are Surging
Elevated interest rates have raised the cost of mortgages and car loans without dampening consumer spending.

The Quantum Mechanics of Rare Events: From Quantum Walks to Stochastic Inflation
Daniel Green, Kshitij Gupta, Akhil Premkumar
https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.06319 https://

Trump’s tendency to point fingers at others is increasingly in the spotlight
As November’s midterm elections approach Republicans are trying to retain control of Congress
But Trump's unwillingness to accept blame sometimes leads him to deny that there are problems at all,
and could leave GOP leaders in tight races with little reassurance for voters that their concerns are being addressed.

With Donald Trump, the buck tends to stop somewhere else
President Harry Truman famously kept a “The Buck Stops Here” sign on his White House desk. But the current president, Donald Trump, often veers from that motto of taking responsibility. The Republican has blamed his predecessors for continued inflation. As the unpopular war with Iran drags on, he says earlier presidents squandered years of chances to curb Tehran's nuclear ambitions. He says vandals are responsible for the problem-plagued renovation of the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool. T…

Fed chair Warsh sidesteps Senate questions on inflation, AI, contact with Trump (Christopher Rugaber/Associated Press)
https://apnews.com/article/federal-reserve-warsh-inflation-ai-trump-09923713ddb06f25d17c975717e4fb15
http://www.memeorandum.com/260715/p89#a260715p89

Replaced article(s) found for astro-ph.CO. https://arxiv.org/list/astro-ph.CO/new
[1/2]:
- Frequentist Cosmological Constraints from Full-Shape Clustering Measurements in DESI DR1
James Morawetz, et al.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.11811 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_astrophCO_bot/115054617575953333
- Is Dark Energy Increasing or Decreasing in the Late Universe?
Maryam Aghaei Abchouyeh, Maurice H. P. M. van Putten
https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.23168 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_astrophCO_bot/115292271970370289
- CMB Hemispherical Power Asymmetry from Early Phase of Inflation
Akash Gandhi, Mohit Panwar, Pankaj Jain
https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.24712 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_astrophCO_bot/115292556588124095
- Cosmological Implication of Cross-correlation between Galaxy Clustering and 21-cm Line Intensity ...
Yong-Seon Song, Minji Oh, Kyungjin Ahn, Feng Shi
https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.11353 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_astrophCO_bot/115722792571619796
- Core-Halo Mass Relation in Cosmological Vector Dark Matter
Jiajun Chen, Yonghao Yao, David J. E. Marsh
https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.18025 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_astrophCO_bot/116957011896583949
- ZTF SN Ia DR2 follow-up: early excess in Type Ia supernova light curves
Tom\'as E. M\"uller-Bravo, et al.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.22050
- Validation of the DESI DR2 Ly$\alpha$ forest full-shape analysis
M. Herbold, et al.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.27411 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_astrophCO_bot/117013522013221755
- Progenitor age-bias-corrected Type Ia supernovae favor a logarithmic luminosity-distance relation
Hoang Ky Nguyen
https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.00806 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_astrophCO_bot/117036166129420866
- A refined method for measuring cosmological distances using variability and proper motions in AGN...
Hodgson, Carr, Parkinson, Statti, Myeong, L'Huillier, Shafieloo, Liodakis, Oh
https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.02202 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_astrophCO_bot/117036302970516638
- Dark Baryon Black Holes
Stefano Profumo
https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.16439 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_hepph_bot/114063445210577923
- Extending Weinberg's EFT: effective scalar-tensor theories up to sixth order
Eugeny Babichev, Suk\c{r}ti Bansal, Maria Mylova, Antonio Padilla
https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.13453 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_hepth_bot/115728934638285022
toXiv_bot_toot

Inflation Complicates Trump's Midterms Pitch to Voters (Tony Romm/New York Times)
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/12/us/politics/trump-inflation-midterms.html
http://www.memeorandum.com/260912/p7#a260912p7

Oil and gas prices jumped,
stock markets slid
and government bond yields rose after the US and Iran traded fresh strikes
and Donald Trump said the shaky ceasefire was “over”.
Brent crude, the global benchmark, climbed 5% to $77.86 a barrel.
In stock markets, the UK’s FTSE 100 fell 1%, or 110 points, to 10,556 while Germany’s Dax tumbled 1.6% and Spain’s Ibex lost 2%.
Speaking at a NATO summit in Ankara, Trump also said he was cutting off trade with Spain ov…

Oil prices jump over 5% after Trump suggests ceasefire with Iran has ended following fresh US strikes – as it happened
Brent crude spikes to a daily high of $79.26, gas prices rise, stock markets slide and government bond yields surge on inflation and rate hike fears

Trump pays $135K in total to three aides. $5K more than his last (known) hush money payment.
Inflation comes for all. 😢
#sarcasm #humor #inflation #gifts #payments

The war in Iran has now cost U.S. consumers $100 billion in higher energy prices,
and the bill is rising another $1 million about every two minutes,
per a real-time estimate from Brown University as of Monday morning.
Why it matters: Energy inflation shows up across the entire economy, and the recent surge in diesel prices in particular threatens to have a dramatic impact on freight and travel in the weeks and months to come.

Iran war drives $100 billion in extra energy costs for U.S. consumers
The average cost burden is more than $760 per household.

Crosslisted article(s) found for astro-ph.CO. https://arxiv.org/list/astro-ph.CO/new
[1/1]:
- Consistent Thermal Resummation and Phase Transitions with 2PI Methods
Amitayus Banik, Kimmo Kainulainen
https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.04102 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_hepph_bot/117047502693663591
- Amnesia in the Axion Misalignment Landscape
Kierthika Chathirathas, Cem Er\"oncel, Mathieu Kaltschmidt, Javier Redondo, Kenichi Saikawa
https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.04139 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_hepph_bot/117047523928429238
- Corrections to Hawking radiation from asteroid-mass primordial black holes: analytic and numerica...
Gabriel Vasquez, Bowen Chen, Cara Nel, Emily Koivu, Makana Silva, Christopher M. Hirata
https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.04346 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_grqc_bot/117047445284689579
- Relativistic Signatures of Dark Matter Equations of State in Static Spherically Symmetric Spacetimes
Akash Yadav, Sudhava Yadav, K. K. Venkataratnam
https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.04470 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_grqc_bot/117047473794282581
- Inflow-driven galaxy evolution - I. Revealing the physics of the fundamental metallicity relation
Kai Wang, et al.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.04784 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_astrophGA_bot/117047534350606403
- Evolution of matter perturbations in the context of cosmic slowing down
D. Koh Cuende, G. Panotopoulos
https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.04922 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_grqc_bot/117047514099918452
- Post-Inflationary Constraints on Nonminimally Coupled Quintessential Inflation
Min Gi Park, Seong Chan Park, Tomo Takahashi, Jos\'e Jaime Terente D\'iaz
https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.05079 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_grqc_bot/117047542803232910
- CCAT: Design and Characterization of the 350 GHz Instrument Module
Ben Keller, et al.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.05121 https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_astrophIM_bot/117047574262723419
toXiv_bot_toot

Treasury yields soar to almost 5% on inflation fears (Jeronimo Gonzalez/Semafor)
https://www.semafor.com/article/09/11/2026/treasury-yields-soar-to-almost-5-on-inflation-fears
http://www.memeorandum.com/260911/p112#a260911p112

The Costco dog, Wiger adds, “just kind of feels frozen in time, where it’s a bite of a memory. It tastes like I remember as a kid, even though it’s not exactly the same.” 
At $1.50, the combo is a steal.
If Costco kept up with inflation, the deal would cost about $5.
But the company has pointedly refused to raise the price.
In a speech he gave in 2018 at the chamber of commerce in the company’s hometown of Issaquah, Washington, then-CEO Craig Jelinek claimed that they …

America’s Greatest Hot Dog
The price and quality of the $1.50 Costco frank haven’t budged in 40 years. It’s the last—and best—deal in the country.

"...it's still going to be inflation totally wiping out wage gains. And that's why Americans feel squeezed right now."
Long also pointed to the low hiring figures as a sign that the economy is pushing many Americans to the brink. She said the economy has averaged roughly 20,000 jobs created each month, which she described as "anemic."
Economist alarmed as Trump's 'anemic' economy pushes Americans to the brink - Raw Story
https://www.rawstory.com/trump-economy-2677677453/

Firm Inflation Reading Pushes Fed Closer to a Rate Increase (Wall Street Journal)
https://www.wsj.com/economy/cpi-inflation-report-august-2026-e2b1e5e7?st=rUyFT1&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink
http://www.memeorandum.com/260911/p59#a260911p59

Inflation stays hot in August as Iran war drives energy costs higher (Courtenay Brown/Axios)
https://www.axios.com/2026/09/11/cpi-august-inflation-trump
http://www.memeorandum.com/260911/p56#a260911p56

📢 US-Notenbank erhöht Leitzins erstmals seit 2023
Im Kampf gegen die hartnäckig hohe Inflation hebt die US-Notenbank Fed den Leitzins an. Er wurde um einen Viertelpunkt erhöht - auf die neue Spanne von 3,75 bis 4,00 Prozent. Experten hatten mit diesem Schritt gerechnet.
➡️ #tagesschau #Eilmeldung #Eil #BreakingNews

A global sell-off in government bonds intensified on Tuesday,
pushing up borrowing costs in some of the world’s largest economies to their highest in decades.
The rise in bond yields squeezes government budgets and raises interest rates on a wide range of debt,
including mortgages and business loans.
The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury notes,
perhaps the world’s most influential interest rate,
reached its highest since January 2025,
and the 30-year y…

Bond Sell-Off Threatens to Squeeze Borrowers Around the World
Government bond yields are hitting multi-decade highs, reflecting anxiety about debt levels, deficits and inflation. The effects will extend to mortgages, business loans and other types of credit.

Fed Rate Hikes Won't Be Enough to Get Inflation to 2% (Allison Schrager/Bloomberg)
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2026-09-11/us-inflation-report-fed-rate-hikes-alone-won-t-get-it-to-2
http://www.memeorandum.com/260911/p68#a260911p68

Key Republicans were blindsided by Trump’s $5,000 dividends and say they won’t happen because of inflation | The Independent
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-dividend-plan-check-republicans-warning-b3048299.html

In other random consumer news… imagine a pickup trip costing only $US 8950 in 1990 ($23,000 adjusted) and being small enough for an adult woman to see *over the roof*. 😂
Yes, sometimes I watch The Price is Right clips on YouTube. 😝 guilty pleasure. I loved Bob Barker!
#DoubleInflation #inflation #tpir #consumer

Global Economy, Hit by Iran War and Inflation, Faces Sharp Slowdown (Alan Rappeport/New York Times)
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/08/business/economy/imf-world-economy-inflation.html
http://www.memeorandum.com/260708/p36#a260708p36

Contrary To What Trump Adviser Moore Told Fox Business, Inflation Is Outstripping Wages - National Memo
https://www.nationalmemo.com/stephen-moore-fox-news

Fed officials warned rate hikes may be needed if inflation stays high (Courtenay Brown/Axios)
https://www.axios.com/2026/08/19/fed-warsh-minutes-rates
http://www.memeorandum.com/260819/p94#a260819p94

Rate Rise in Play as Fed Officials Await Inflation Data (Colby Smith/New York Times)
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/03/business/rate-rise-in-play-as-fed-officials-await-inflation-data.html
http://www.memeorandum.com/260903/p53#a260903p53

"[Die Folgen der Politik rechtspopulistischer Parteien] lassen sich am Beispiel der USA in Echtzeit beobachten. Kommen Populisten an die Macht, schaden sie in der Regel dem Wohlstand und der Demokratie. Sie schwächen Institutionen, schmälern das Wachstum, heizen die Inflation an, vermehren die Schulden & befeuern mit ihrer Politik den Klimawandel."
Wer hat ernsthaft Lust auf so ein Experiment?
Quelle mit Bezahlschranke:
#AfD #SVP #Trump #Putin #neueWege #gemeinsam

The White House tries (and fails) to put a positive spin on ugly economic results (Steve Benen/MS NOW)
https://www.ms.now/rachel-maddow-show/maddowblog/trump-hassett-economy-jobs-gdp-growth-wages-inflation-white-house
http://www.memeorandum.com/260810/p77#a260810p77

Trump’s promise of an economic ‘golden age’ collides with reality
https://www.ms.now/opinion/trump-economy-inflation-gdp-bessent

Warsh, After Talking Tough on Inflation, Faces a 'No-Win Situation' on Rates (Colby Smith/New York Times)
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/08/29/business/kevin-warsh-inflation-rates-fed.html
http://www.memeorandum.com/260830/p8#a260830p8

U.S. economy slowed to 1.5% growth rate in Q2; June core inflation at 3.3% (Jeff Cox/CNBC)
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/30/us-economy-slowed-to-1point5percent-growth-rate-in-q2-june-core-inflation-at-3point3percent.html
http://www.memeorandum.com/260730/p38#a260730p38

America's expensive groceries are getting less safe to eat (Josephine Walker/Axios)
https://www.axios.com/2026/09/07/food-safety-concerns-grocery-inflation
http://www.memeorandum.com/260907/p36#a260907p36

Republicans sour on the economy (Mike Zapler/Axios)
https://www.axios.com/2026/09/05/trump-economy-michigan-survey-inflation-iran-war
http://www.memeorandum.com/260905/p22#a260905p22

Retail sales unexpectedly fall in July as government tax refunds fade (Anne D'Innocenzio/Associated Press)
https://apnews.com/article/retail-inflation-consumer-sentiment-economy-3e2bc5807d7396b8e6c5f599941cb2a9
http://www.memeorandum.com/260814/p22#a260814p22

Trump doubles down on $5K check idea despite GOP doubts, inflation concerns (Elleiana Green/Politico)
https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2026/09/11/congress/trump-5000-checks-double-down-01073028
http://www.memeorandum.com/260912/p28#a260912p28

Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady amid signs inflation is cooling (Mary Cunningham/CBS News)
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/federal-reserve-interest-rates-kevin-warsh-july-206/
http://www.memeorandum.com/260729/p85#a260729p85